Top Totals for Tuesday's MLB Picks: Pair of Pitching Matchups Hint to Value

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, September 15, 2015 3:17 PM UTC

Tuesday, Sep. 15, 2015 3:17 PM UTC

Our resident MLB handicapping professional has two top totals selections on Tuesday’s card. Don’t make a move on either the Astros/Rangers or Reds/Giants games without first reading this revealing betting preview article.

Astros (McHugh) vs. Rangers (Holland) 8:05 PM ET
Collin McHugh has gone 3-0 in his career team starts versus Texas while posting a sparkling 1.89 ERA during those outings. All of those starts have taken place since 8/28/2014, and each game stayed under the total. The Astros hurler has allowed 2 earned runs or less in six of the last seven, and eight of his previous ten starts. Despite allowing 5 earned runs at Oakland in his last appearance, Holland still maintains a stellar 2.33 ERA over his previous seven starts. Houston will be facing a southpaw starting pitcher (Holland) tonight. They’ve gone 30-19 (61.2%) under the total this season when facing a left-handed starter. Houston has seen just one of their previous six games go over the total.

Derek Holland comes off a shaky start in which he allowed 5 earned runs in 7.0 innings at Seattle. However, his whole body of work has been rock solid since returning to the starting rotation after a long stint on the DL. The Texas veteran southpaw has posted a stellar 3.13 ERA plus 0.99 WHIP in six starts this year, and only one of those games went over the total. Texas has a terrible .217 team batting average over their last seven games. They’ve also seen just two of their previous eleven games go over the MLB odds total.

I like this game to play below the sizable total for one of my MLB picks. The major online sportsbooks are divided between 8.5 and 9.0 on this number.

Play the Astros and Rangers under 9.0 (-125) at


Reds (Lamb) vs. Giants (Heston) 10:15 PM ET
John Lamb is 1-5 in his six team starts this season with a lofty 5.18 ERA and 1.58 WHIP. Cincinnati enters today having gone over the total in nine of their previous twelve games. Since falling hopelessly out of playoff contention, the Reds has gone with a five man all rookie starting pitching rotation. The youngsters have struggled in the last thirteen road games, evidenced by compiling a combined 6.96 ERA during that stretch.

Chris Heston has displayed shaky form during his previous three starts, posting a lofty 5.78 ERA, 1.78 WHIP, and he allowed 5 home runs in just 14.0 innings. Heston has faced Cincinnati just once this season, and allowed 5 earned runs on 7 hits while walking 2 in just 2.0 innings The Giants have gone over the total in four consecutive games, and averaged 8.0 runs scored per outing during that stretch.

These teams have failed to go under the total in any of their five meetings this season. Tonight’s game has the earmarks of a high scoring affair, and one of my MLB picks on Tuesday will echo that notion.

Play the Reds and Giants over 7.5 (-105) at

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