Top Totals for Monday's MLB Picks: Two Locks on 'Under'

Swinging Johnson

Monday, May 4, 2015 2:13 PM GMT

Monday, May. 4, 2015 2:13 PM GMT

We have reviewed the MLB odds and have honed in on three totals for Monday night. Let’s sweep the board with our baseball betting predictions this evening.

8:10 PM EDT Rangers (11-11-2 O/U) vs. Astros (12-12-1 O/U)
Just where are the Astros and what have you done with them? Surely the entire organization has been abducted by some alien mothership hovering above the stratosphere because this team is in the midst of a 10-game winning streak and looks nothing like the moribund franchise we’ve come to know and loathe. Houston has swept their last three series over Oakland, San Diego and just recently Seattle. They look to keep the good times rolling as they host the stumbling Rangers who have dropped eight of their last 10 and embark upon a seven-game road trip starting tonight.

The Rangers have averaged 3.1 runs per game over their last 10 games while the Astros have logged an average of 7.6 runs scored per contest during their 10-game winning streak. Texas will hand the ball to Ross Detwiler, owner of a bloated 8.66 ERA to complement an equally swollen 2.21 WHIP. He will be opposed by Houston’s Dallas Keuchel and his micro 0.73 ERA which is identical to his 0.73 WHIP. This appears to be a mismatch on paper but that’s why they play the games.

The question here is will Detwiler remain as ineffective as Keuchel has been dominant? Is Detwiler really that bad and is Keuchel the second coming of Greg Maddux? Let’s take a look at their career statistics to see if these numbers are truly representative of the pitchers in question. Detwiler has a 4.00 ERA (which of course includes this disastrous season) while Keuchel career ERA is only slightly better at 3.89. You better believe that although Houston has been on an absolute tear this is not the Murderer’s Row of the ’27 Yankees. And we must also make the leap of faith that a 29-year-old pitcher and seven year MLB veteran like Detwiler has not suddenly lost all the tools in his toolbox.

The Astros are coming off a 7-6 victory over Seattle last night while the Rangers were handed a 7-1 defeat at home by the Athletics. Look for the Houston bats to cool off a bit tonight and the pitchers to control this game. Detwiler is due for a regression to his career mean while the Astros are due to cool off. The MLB odds at GTBets.com is offering a total of 8 ½ (U-115). The squares will undoubtedly look at Detwiler’s recent past while reviewing Houston’s offensive fireworks and go over. But we are more than happy that this MLB Odds total has risen from an opener of 7 ½ to where it rests as of this writing at 8 ½ and go low.

MLB Picks: Play Under 8 ½ (-115) at GTBets

 

8:40 PM EDT Diamondbacks (11-11-2 O/U) vs. Rockies (13-10-1 O/U)
These clubs met last week in the desert and the total went over in all three games of the series. Tonight they begin another three-game set only the venue has changed and they will be in the rarified air of the Mile High City. Tonight’s starters feature Josh Collmenter (2.75 ERA, 1.33 WHIP) versus Tyler Matzek (2.70 ERA, 1.55 WHIP) both of whom are enjoying solid seasons for their respective clubs.

Collmenter’s last outing was against these same Rockies where he tossed eight innings of one run, five hit ball leading to a 9-1 throttling of Colorado Friday night. On the flipside it was Tyler Matzek who faced the D-Backs last Wednesday where he earned the win in a 5-4 victory after going five full of two earned runs on five hits.

The Arizona bats were silenced last night in a 1-0 loss to the Dodgers reflecting a general offensive malaise in their series with LA as they mustered only four combined runs over the three-game set. Meanwhile, Colorado is in the midst of a five-game tailspin where their bats have been dormant as well. The MLB odds in this one offer a juicy 10 (U-125) total and despite the fact that Coors Field is often a graveyard for pitchers we will bet this one low and happily cash in our MLB Picks.

MLB Picks: Play Under 10 (-125) at GTBets.com.

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