Too Much Lumber In Angels vs. Blue Jays Game, Expect Lots Of Runs

Toronto Blue Jays

Charles Stark

Thursday, August 25, 2016 12:57 PM UTC

Thursday, Aug. 25, 2016 12:57 PM UTC

The Angels visit today a Toronto team that has turned their season around since the All-Star break. I am looking at the total on MLB Odds for this game because there is a good chance for a lot of runs.

MLB odds have come out with a big total for this game at 9.5 across the board. For my MLB pick I'm going to back over the total like at Pinnacle sports -105. Toronto is one of the best home hitting teams in baseball and I believe Los Angeles will be able to score today enough to help get over the total.


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Los Angeles Angels
Jered Weaver takes the mound for Los Angeles and comes in with a 5.47 ERA and 1.53 whip while allowing batters to hit .311 against him on the road. Whether he is been at home or on the road the 10-year veteran has really struggled this season and he has allowed at least four runs in four of his last five starts. Today things will not get easier for him as he faces a Toronto team that cannot only flat out hit but can really flat out hit at home. In his last three starts he has given up 14 earned runs in just 15 innings as well as an astonishing seven home runs, don't expect him to keep the Blue Jays in the park today. He simply does not strike out many batters and I expect Toronto to score in bunches. At the plate offensively Los Angeles actually has some decent statistics hitting .262 as a team which ranks 10th in the major leagues. Recently they been knocking the ball all over the place averaging over six runs per game in their last five contests. As well, they are solid in hitting left-handers as their batting average jumps up a bit to .268 versus southpaws and their OPS goes from .727 overall to .751.

Toronto Blue Jays
J.A. Happ gets the start for Toronto with a 3.05 ERA and 1.14 whip arguably having his best season in his nine-year career. Amazingly Toronto has won the last 10 times he has started for them and he has pitched extremely well at home with a 2.76 ERA and batters hitting just .241 against him. However, his numbers versus the Angels the last few seasons have been rough within ERA of 8.00 as well as a 0-4 record. In that span, the Angels are hitting .325 against him in his 18 innings pitched. At the plate, Toronto is a completely different monster at home and all their statistics go up significantly. They average over five runs per game, go from hitting .235 on the road to .263 in Toronto, and their OPS jumps from .731 when they travel to .794 at home. This line up can put up runs in a hurry and I expect them to have a lot of quality at-bats today versus Weaver, who as mentioned, has really struggled this season both at home and on the road.


July record: 13-9
August record: 13-10
Free MLB Pick: Over 9.5 (-105)
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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