Who will cash on the MLB betting lines for this Rubber Game at New York Mets? The St. Louis Cardinals bounced back with a W on Tuesday, after the Mets scratched out a late victory in extra innings on Monday night.
The St. Louis Cardinals Can Win Because…
If you look at New York starter Bartolo Colon, you will see that he is undergoing a distinct downward trajectory this season. Colon did not give up more than three runs in any of his first four starts this season, and he gave up more than three runs in only one of his first six starts this season. He was setting the right tone for himself, the Mets, and for the New York pitching staff. However, the past two weeks, Colon has noticeably regressed. In a recent start on May 10, he was tagged for four runs on eight hits in six innings against the Philadelphia Phillies. He struck out six, though, so it’s not as though he didn’t have some velocity and movement on his pitches – he just didn’t locate them as well as he needed to. However, in his most recent start from May 15 against Milwaukee, Colon was even worse. In five innings, he gave up six runs on seven hits. Colon wasn’t wild out of the strike zone – he issued no walks – but he didn’t locate his pitches within the strike zone. He was crushed, surrendering two home runs and falling victim to the big blast. He cannot continue to pitch this way, but after allowing a total of 10 runs in his last two starts, Colon is heading in the wrong direction. Given that St. Louis scored 10 runs on Tuesday night in the second game of this series, the Cardinals’ bats are in a good groove and will be ready to take Colon apart if the old man isn’t ready to pitch a lot better than he has over the past week and a half. This is a good opening for the Cardinals to score big in a second straight game in New York.
The New York Mets Can Win Because…
Their opposing pitcher is also struggling. St. Louis starter Carlos Martinez was a reliever last season, and he was converted to a starter. That adjustment is not going smoothly this year. Martinez was decent in his last start, giving up two runs in five innings. However, in his previous two starts, he gave up seven runs apiece. In neither outing did he get through six full innings, and in one of those starts, he didn’t get out of the fourth inning. Martinez was actually solid through the month of April, but hitters are seeing more and more of him right now. Scouting reports from opposing teams are more developed. Martinez is running into the brick wall of reality. This leads to a 4.73 ERA and a season that, for him personally, is not going the way he would want. The Mets can get a read on him and win this game.
The performance of Colon is concerning, but the regression of Martinez, a young pitcher not used to starting, is more alarming right now. Take the Mets with your MLB picks.
MLB Pick: Mets at GT Bets