Tigers vs. Angels MLB Picks: Daily Predictions in 4-Game Series

Willie Bee

Thursday, May 28, 2015 11:16 AM GMT

Detroit concludes a 7-game road trip tonight, and the Tigers send David Price to the mound as slight MLB odds favorites in hopes of avoiding a sweep at the hands of the Angels.

31st MAY
Tigers vs. Angels Game 4

By: Willie Bee

 

 

Detroit hitters finally found their strokes and scored more than three runs for the first time on this 7-game road trip that wraps up Sunday evening in Anaheim. Trouble is, it wasn't nearly enough to counter a 5-HR attack by the Los Angeles Angels who take aim at sweeping the Tigers out of town.

A national television audience will be watching to see if the Tigers can avoid LA's brooms with ESPN beginning its Sunday Night Baseball broadcast at 8 PM (ET). Detroit will have its best hurler on the bump in the person of David Price, and the initial MLB odds were firmly behind the Tigers who opened around -125 on the moneyline. Overnight action has driven the numbers down to a pick 'em at some shops, the Tigers slight favorites at others.

Matt Shoemaker toils for the Angels, and despite the last two games of the series topping 8 run totals, tonight's scoreboard hurdle is 7½ and leans to the low side.

Understand How to Use the Log5 Method to Predict MLB Statistics

Shoemaker Can't Win At Home, Price Can't Lose On Road
Price has been on a roll since late-April when the Tigers began a 6-game win streak with their top hurler on the hill. The stretch has baseball bettors backing the Vandy product very, leaving them 9-1 on the year and up more than seven units, good enough for the 5th-best return among all major league starters.

All five of Price's assignments away from home have ended in Detroit victories, but it has been a mixed bag when he has appeared at Angel Stadium. Six assignments for the Rays and Tigers in Anaheim have resulted in a 3-3 record with a 4.27 ERA.

While Price has been hot of late, Shoemaker has not. The Halos won three of his first four 2015 starts only to drop four of the subsequent five. The latest setback was not Shoemaker's fault, however, as the 28-year-old tossed seven shutout frames vs. the Padres this past Monday only to receive no run support in an eventual 4-0 LA defeat. That left the Angels 0-4 in his Anaheim outings, Shoemaker sporting a 6.20 home ERA.

 

Umpire Notes, Mother Nature & A Free Pick
The top dog of this umpire crew, Gerry Davis, will have the plate for the prime-time finale of the series. Playing the 'under' (3-6 O/U) and visitors (7-2, + 6.0 units) on the MLB odds have definitely been the way to go when the 33-year veteran is calling balls and strikes. One exception was his May 12 assignment in Anaheim, an Angels victory as decided home chalk.

Sunny and the mid-70s is what the weatherman is calling for when the contest gets underway a little past five o'clock local time, an 8-10 mph SW blow also in the forecast (out to center). Price has been right recently, but the LA hitters have been too hot the last two games for me to ignore. My free MLB pick is on the Angels (+100).

MLB Pick: Angels +100 at The Greek 

30th MAY
Tigers vs. Angels Game 3

By: Willie Bee

 

 

Up until five days ago, the Detroit Tigers had managed to avoid being blanked in a game this year. That was then and this is now as the Motown 9 suffered their second shutout since the opener of the road trip in Oakland, dropping Friday's fracas to the Los Angeles Angels by a 2-0 count.

Having scored all of six runs in the first five games of this trip, the Tigers will try to generate some offense Saturday evening (10:05 PM ET) when they face Halos veteran Jered Weaver. A quick glance at the MLB odds reveal sports books don't think Detroit will score enough as LA draws -125 to -130 chalk for the tilt.

Shane Greene takes the mound for the Tigers, and Wagerweb is showing a 7½ run total that is priced evenly high and low.

 

Angels Have Won Weaver's Last 4 Starts
A quick beginning to the season has come unraveled a bit for Greene who posted a 0.39 ERA his first three starts and 6.75 mark in seven subsequent outings. The Tigers are 3-4 over that span, splitting his four efforts on the road where he has a 1.40 WHIP on the year compared to 1.17 at Comerica Park.  Saturday will be the first time Greene has faced the Angels lineup, LA's Matt Joyce the only player to have faced him.

Weaver has gone the opposite direction of Greene, coming out of the chute slow with a 6.29 ERA in his first 10 assignments and 1.50 the last four, each a victory for the Halos. A big reason for the turnaround has been Weaver's ability to keep baseballs in the park, the Long Beach State alum allowing eight homers in his initial half-dozen starts while only serving up one the last four.

The 6'-7" righthander has been hit-or-miss against the Tigers during his career, his 11 previous clashes with Detroit resulting in a 4-4 personal record and 4.64 ERA. Ian Kinsler has the most experience with Weaver, batting .235 (20-85) and banging three homers.

 

Umpire Notes, Mother Nature & A Free Pick
New Jersey native Phil Cuzzi is scheduled to call balls and strikes for the 550th regular season game in his career. A veteran of 20 MLB seasons, the last 15 in a full-time capacity, Cuzzi's first eight plate assignments on the 2015 baseball betting slate have run 5-3 O/U, both games involving either the Angels or Tigers failing to reach the number. His last six games under the mask in Anaheim have split the totals.

Once again, we're expecting clear skies and about an hour of sunshine left in the day when the contest gets underway a little past 7 PM local time. A 5-8 mph southwest breeze could give some fly balls heading out to center a little extra push, and I'm pushing out my third-straight free MLB pick on the Angels (-130).

MLB Pick: Angels (-130)  at YouWager

 

29th MAY
Tigers vs. Angels Game 2

By: Willie Bee

 

 

Held to 12 runs in their previous five games combined, the Los Angeles Angels erupted for an even dozen plate crossings Thursday night to smoke the Detroit Tigers in the opener of their 4-game series.

Angels hitters look to keep the good times rolling in Anaheim for Game 2 on Friday (10:05 PM ET), a contest the sportsbooks have as a dead heat. MLB odds have pegged both teams at -105 on the moneyline with Anibal Sanchez slated to start for Detroit opposite LA's Hector Santiago. An 8 run total leans a little to the low side, the highest scoreboard mark among the five West Coast games on today's card.

Seven of the 13 hits collected by the Halos on Thursday went for extra bases, including three home runs. Chris Iannetta, batting .165 entering the game, had one of the homers along with a double while driving in four. The win came at a bit of a cost with Erick Aybar exiting due to a hamstring issue, the LA shortstop possibly sitting the rest of the series.

 

Tigers 9-3 When Facing Left-Handed Starter
The 2015 baseball betting schedule has so far proved to be a struggle for Sanchez. The Venezuelan won the AL ERA crown in 2013 and posted a 3.43 mark a year ago in an injury-shortened campaign, only to see that stat balloon to over six in 10 starts this season. He has allowed seven earnies in each of his last two outings, the Tigers 3-7 in his assignments to put gamblers down six units.

Sanchez has faced the Angels twice since joining Detroit in 2012, and both ended up in the loss column despite a 3.29 ERA. One LA hitter who has given him trouble is Matt Joyce (.333, HR), but the Halos outfielder is struggling this year batting under a buck-eighty.

Santiago is looking to extend his streak of four quality starts in a row, but a lack of offense has the Angels only splitting those efforts despite a 1.73 ERA over the span. He has been solid in Anaheim this year, pitching to a 1.86 ERA in five outings and holding the opposition to a sub-.200 batting average. Friday is the sixth start of his career vs. the Tigers, Santiago also making seven relief appearances against Detroit, and the southpaw owns a 2.03 ERA in those games while holding Miguel Cabrera to just a single in 11 face-offs.

 

Umpire Notes, Mother Nature & A Free Pick
Now in his second full season at the big league level, Will Little is up next to call balls and strikes in Gerry Davis' crew. The Tennessean has begun the 2015 MLB betting campaign with a 4-1-1 O/U/P record, his only plate assignment in Anaheim up to now an easy 'under' winner.

A bit humid, perhaps, but still a pretty nice evening on tap in Anaheim. The weatherman is calling for a game-time reading of 73º on the thermometer under a few clouds and a light 5-8 mph southwesterly breeze (out to center). The Angels brought their big bats to the opener of a 4-game series against Detroit, and they'll try to do it again Friday against a struggling Anibal Sanchez of the Tigers. Let's ride with the home team in Game 2 and make out free MLB pick on L.A.'s Money line.

MLB Picks: Angels (-105) at YouWager

 

28th MAY
Tigers vs. Angels Game Opener

By: Willie Bee

 

 

Favorites to win their respective divisions and the American League flag on the future MLB odds when the season began, the Detroit Tigers and Los Angeles Angels instead find themselves occupying third place in the AL Central and AL West as they prepare for a long, 4-game series against each other. The good news for the Tigers is they're only a game out of first place in their division, while the Angels are struggling and a game under .500 as May comes to a close.

Among the final games on each baseball betting card the next four days, the clubs get the set going Thursday with a 10:05 PM (ET) first pitch in Anaheim. A recent injury is forcing Detroit manager Brad Ausmus to shuffle his rotation, the Tigers bringing up Buck Farmer for this game. CJ Wilson gets the call for the Halos who are listed as -140 chalk at GT Bets.  A 7½ run total is carrying extra juice on the high side.

It's the first of two series between the clubs this year, the Angels returning the visit to Motown for a midweek set in late-August. The Tigers have a slight 319-302 edge all-time, but the crew from Anaheim has dominated them the last two seasons by winning 10 of 13.

The Angels have been extremely rude hosts in recent seasons as well, taking nine of the last 10 played at The Big A. Three of the four here in 2014 finished 'under' the totals.

 

Farmer Set For Just His 3rd MLB Start
Detroit (28-20, +5.4 units) just finished taking two of three in Oakland on this West Coast swing, the Tigers managing to win that series with fine pitching after managing to plate but four runs the entire set. They had lost 3-straight -- and 6 of 9 -- before winning the final two vs. the A's, and sit a game behind the red-hot Twins who are tied with the Royals for the lead in the AL Central.

A 5th-round pick by Detroit out of Georgia Tech in 2013, Farmer is getting a taste of big league life for the second time in his young career. He was called up after Kyle Lobstein went on the DL with a sore left shoulder, and the stay could be short with Justin Verlander (triceps) scheduled to begin his rehab assignments this week. Farmer made four appearances last season, two of them starts, and was 5-1 in nine Triple-A starts this year with a 2.98 ERA with only one homer allowed in more than 51 innings.

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Scoring Runs Becoming A Problem For Halos
It's the middle series of a 10-game homestand for Los Angeles (23-24, -4.2 units), and the Angels find themselves in a rut after dropping two of three to the Padres. They have now lost five of their last seven, an offense that is next to last in the AL scoring 3.72 runs per game and reaching base at a league-worst .290 clip a big reason behind the club's struggles.

Wilson has had a couple of hiccups along the way, but has otherwise pitched better than his 2-3 personal ledger would indicate. The former Loyola Marymount star has been solid in his last three home assignments, all wins for the Angels while Wilson pitched to a 2.17 ERA. Detroit has knocked Wilson around a bit since he joined the Angels for the 2012 campaign, the southpaw's ERA up around 5½ in five starts, but the Halos have managed to win three of those assignments.

Sunny, 72º and a light SW breeze (out to center) is the forecast for the start of tonight's game, and the rest of the weekend looks about the same. We'll keep our eye on Mother Nature throughout the series as we provide previews and free MLB picks, and to get things rolling, I like the 'over' 7½ (-115) despite neither offense having shown us much recently.

MLB Pick: Over 7½ at Pinnacle

Season: 33-32-2 (+0.85)