Tigers to Pull Minor Upset at Banged-Up Houston on May 22

Willie Bee

Monday, May 22, 2017 12:36 PM UTC

Monday, May. 22, 2017 12:36 PM UTC

The Detroit Tigers will spend the rest of May on the road taking a 3-city tour, and it begins in Houston on Monday where they are small underdogs on the MLB odds against the Astros.

MLB Season Record: 17-29 (-13.41)

How well were the Houston Astros playing just a few days ago? So well that they could drop all three weekend games to the Cleveland Indians and still maintain the best record in the major leagues.

That nice cushion Houston built at the top won’t last long if the Astros can’t get things turned around soon. They’ll get a chance to end the current 3-game skid Monday night in the series opener against the Detroit Tigers, first pitch slated for 8:10 ET). With ace Dallas Keuchel on the DL, Houston turns to Brad Peacock to fill his rotation slot, and BetOnline is showing a little confidence in the right-hander with the Astros sitting on a -123 money line. Detroit counters with Michael Fulmer, the 2016 AL Rookie of the Year, and scoreboard bettors are looking at an 8½-run total that favors the ‘under’ slightly.


Peacock Not Expected To Go More Than 70 Pitches

Detroit just finished a homestand by losing two of three to the other Lone Star State team, dropping Sunday night’s matchup to Yu Darvish and the Rangers, who were -125 favorites on the MLB odds. The defeat left the Tigers level on the campaign at 21-21 and two games behind the Twins and Indians in the AL Central race. Fulmer has won his last three assignments with Detroit 6-2 on the season behind the former Mets first-round pick. Monday night will be his first career start against the Astros.

Keuchel, who is only expected to miss one start thanks to the new 10-day DL, isn’t the only injury concern for the Astros. Houston also has catcher Brian McCann on the 7-day shelf with a concussion, leaving Evan Gattis to handle most of the chores behind the dish. Peacock has spent the first two months in the bullpen and likely isn’t slated for more than 60-70 pitches. He's made 46 starts previously in his career, including two against the Tigers a few years back when he worked a combined 13.1 innings and allowed four earned runs.


Series Notes, Mother Nature & A Free Pick

As interleague foes, Houston won the first six games against Detroit. The Tigers have been the dominant force as AL opponents by taking 17 of 27 meetings. The Astros have won the last three series played at Minute Maid, six of those nine games never making it to the totals.

There were tornadoes in the Houston area on Sunday, and the city is getting drenched Monday morning. Rain chances diminish as game time approaches, but we still expect the roof to be shut. Houston manager AJ Hinch had to go to his bullpen early Sunday, so he’d like to get at least five innings out of Peacock tonight. I’m counting on Houston’s skid to last at least one more game, however, and taking Fulmer on a plus-price for my free baseball pick.

Free MLB Pick: Tigers +117Best Line Offered: BookMaker

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