Thursday's Top MLB Totals: Betting a Pair Sharp O/U Picks

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, September 3, 2015 12:37 PM UTC

Thursday, Sep. 3, 2015 12:37 PM UTC

We’ve isolated two MLB totals on Thursday’s abbreviated card which stand above all the rest. Read our informative betting preview article and blast your bookie out of the water.

Pirates (Liriano) vs. Brewers (Jungman) 7:20 PM ET
Francisco Liriano has posted a stellar 2.33 ERA in ten road starts this season. Since 2014, Liriano has seen all three of his starts versus Milwaukee go under the total, and he compiled an excellent 0.85 WHIP during those outings.

Taylor Jungman has gone 6-1 under the total in seven starts at home this year while posting a sparkling 2.48 ERA. The Brewers right-hander hurler has seen both starts versus Pittsburgh in 2015 stay under, and he was a major contributor to those results based on his superb 1.29 ERA during those outings. After combing through Jungman’s 2015 season numbers, there was one thing that really stood out. He’s allowed only 3 home runs in 90 1/3 innings, and has yet to yield a home run during 42.0 innings pitched at Miller Park.

I like this game to be a low scoring affair, and one of my MLB picks on Thursday will be indicative of that decision. The major sports are divided on this total, with some at 8.0 and others 7.5. Heritage is at the higher number, and also allows us to lay the least amount of juice with our MLB picks.


MLB Pick: Pirates and Brewers under 8.0 (-110) at Heritage


Giants (Vogelsong) vs. Rockies (Rusin) 8:40 PM ET
Ryan Vogelsong is 4-1-1 over the total in his career starts at Coors Field in Denver. During those outings, Vogelsong posted a large 7.14 ERA, and allowed 10 home runs in just 29.0 innings pitched. The Giants veteran hurler has been terrible during his last two starts overall, compiling a sizable 7.88 ERA and 2.25 WHIP. San Francisco has gone 39-23 (62.9%) over the total in road games this year, and that includes a perfect 11-0 if they’re a money line favorite of -125 or more like they’ll be today.

Chris Rusin has struggled mightily during his previous two starts to say the least. During those appearances, Rusin has a gigantic 15.75 ERA. As per usual, the Rockies have been a productive offensive team at home in 2015. They’ve averaged 5.4 runs per game in addition to possessing a .302 team batting average, and also compiled a large .842 OPS. The Rockies bullpen has performed horribly at Coors Field during this 2015 campaign, posting a cumulative 5.21 ERA and 1.51 WHIP as a staff.

According to current MLB betting odds, the good folks at The Greek are the only major sportsbook who posts a total of 11.0 on this game, and all the rest are at 11.5.


MLB Pick: Giants and Rockies over 11.0 (-125) at The Greek

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