Thursday's Pitching Report: Enigmatic Hurlers Worth Fading With Tonight's Picks

Doug Upstone

Thursday, August 20, 2015 2:49 PM UTC

Thursday, Aug. 20, 2015 2:49 PM UTC

The baseball slate for Thursday does not scream excitement , yet there are MLB odds from sportsbooks, which leads to opportunity, which can lead to you putting money in your pocket from MLB picks.

Today there are number obscure starting pitchers that are either back of the rotation guys or hurlers with limited big league experience. As a baseball handicapper, I though would try and help you with your decision-making process by checking these guys out and see if you would want to use them for MLB picks against the betting odds or not.


Royals vs. Red Sox: Kansas City and the first Duffy
Danny Duffy (6-5, 4.03 ERA) has been given the task of cooling off a sizzling Boston offense. The 26-year left-hander has a mid-90 fastball, a generally tightly-spun curve that breaks downward. The reason why he's never been more than average despite above average stuff is his mechanics, with a tendency at any given time to open his hips up to quickly, which leaves his pitches up or out of the strike zone.

If Duffy does that tonight, he could get punished since the Red Sox are averaging 8.3 runs per game since Aug. 7. This is the kind of offense "Sawks" fans have been waiting for, with everyone in the lineup contributing. Also, do not expect Boston to be fearful of taking on the league's best team, having won eight of 10 against the Royals which included last year's sweep at Fenway.

Duffy and K.C. are smallish -110 away MLB odds favorites and he's not had much success versus the BoSox at 0-2 with a 5.23 ERA in four career starts. The Royals deserved to be the betting choice as the better team, having won five in a row and 10 of 12, but I like the matchup with the home team on this day and Boston is 28-10 at home after three or more consecutive Over's since 2013.

Slight Disadvantage - Duffy and Kansas City


Diamondbacks vs. Reds: Mary Had a Little Lamb & So Does Cincinnati
As it turns out the Reds Lamb is not so little, standing 6'4 and weighing 207 pounds. John Lamb (0-1, 7.50)was acquired from Kansas City in the Johnny Cueto deal and made his big league start six days ago after toiling in the minors. The 25-year was a top Royals prospect, but has not shown the same velocity or command since his 2011 elbow surgery.

He will every opportunity to earn a spot in the rotation for 2016 for rebuilding Cincinnati and he will be assigned the task for stopping the National League's best offense in Arizona. Led by Paul Goldschmidt, the Diamondbacks average 4.5 RPG and they were rolling offensively at 6.8 RPG in their last eight until Pittsburgh limited them to one on Wednesday.

The Reds are +105 home underdogs at WagerWeb to Patrick Corbin (3-3, 3.43) and the D-Backs and though the Snakes are a sickly 1-9 as a road favorite of -110 or higher this season, I still think they have enough venom to put the hurt on Cincy, who is 10-24 after scoring three runs or less in consecutive contests.

Slight Disadvantage - Lamb and Cincinnati


Twins vs. Orioles: The Other Duffey Pitches in Baltimore
Like two passing ships, Minnesota is sinking fast, while Baltimore is making a playoff push. The Twins are 9-21 since July 18th and whatever postseason dreams they had, they are dwindling quickly. The Orioles by virtue of winning 15 of 23, have the same number of defeats as the L.A.A. Angels for the final playoff spot in the AL.

Minnesota will use Tyler Duffey (1-1, 6.75), who is making his third big league start and allowed no runs over six innings his last time out against Cleveland for his first victory. Duffey will have to contend with an O's lineup which is scoring seven times a game on average thus far during this homestand.

The Twins swept the earlier series at home, but are +150 road underdogs against a Baltimore club that is 15-4 at home having won three of their last four games this season.

Disadvantage - Duffey and Minnesota

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