Thursday's O/U Picks Offer Bettors Value with Pair of Cash Cows

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, September 24, 2015 11:51 AM UTC

Thursday, Sep. 24, 2015 11:51 AM UTC

Our MLB professional gave us a pair of winners on Wednesday with his two top totals picks. Today he shares his top choices regarding totals in the Diamondbacks/Dodgers & Brewers/Cardinals games.

Diamondbacks (Corbin) vs. Dodgers (Kershaw) 3:10 PM ET
Pat Corbin has pitcher brilliantly during his previous five starts, posting an excellent 1.44 ERA, and all five games stayed under the total. Corbin has displayed impeccable control all year, and especially so in his last four starts where he didn’t issue any base on balls. The southpaw hurler is 6-1 under the total in day games this season with a stellar 2.63 ERA. Since 2013, Corbin is 16-5 under the total when facing an opponent with a winning record.

Clayton Kershaw has seen each of his last nine starts at Dodger Stadium go under the total. The star southpaw hurler has allowed 1 earned run or less in thirteen of his last fifteen starts.

A lot of MLB bettors will shy away from going under the total in this game due to such a low number. Contrarily, many others will be enticed with going over the total for the very same reason. After going through the process of my fact filled mission, I like this game to be a low scoring affair. One of my MLB picks on Thursday will be indicative of that prediction.

MLB Pick: Play the Diamondbacks & Dodgers Under 6.0 (+105) at The Greek.

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Brewers (Jungman) vs. Cardinals (Wacha) 7:10 PM ET
Taylor Jungman has been in awful form during his previous three starts, evidenced by a mammoth 9.20 ERA, 1.70 WHIP, surrendering 5 home runs in just 14 2/3 innings of work, and all three games went over the total. Despite playing on the low side of the number in their last two games, Milwaukee is still 17-5 over the total during their previous twenty-two contests.

Michael Wacha has also been shaky during his previous three starts, compiling a terrible 7.20 ERA, 1.73 WHIP, and surrendering 5 home runs in 15.0 innings pitched. St. Louis has seen just 10 of their last 35 games (28.6%) stay under the total.

My lean on this total is toward the high side of the number. According to current MLB betting odds at major sportsbooks, Heritage is the only one with a total of 7.0 while the rest reside at 7.5.

MLB Pick: Play the Brewers & Cardinals Over 7.0 (-120).

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