Joe C. Record
75-81 -27.92 Units
We split on the day as the Cardinals easily handled the Royals in the “Battle of Missouri” while the matchup of Burnett vs. Strasburg went way over the total and was just a poor pick.
New York Mets (28-31) vs. Chicago Cubs
The New York Mets will really need innings from starter Jacob deGrom (0-2, 2.42) as they had to yank starter, Daisuke Matsuzaka, in last night’s game quite early as the Japanese native had a problem finding the plate. Aside from being able to hit the baseball, deGrom has been outstanding in the first 4 starts of his career, but hasn’t received adequate run support.
In his first four starts of his career, deGrom has gone at least 6 innings in every start while not allowing more than 3 runs in any game. He’s also held opposing batters to just a .182 batting average and with the lineup that the Cubs possess, look for deGrom to pitch well in this spot.
Mets manager, Terry Collins, will look to get as much as he can out of deGrom due to the Mets sub-standard and overused bullpen.
Where the Cubs are concerned, fans will always come to their games because games at Wrigley Field are an experience, but the Cubs play on the field leaves a lot to be desired. Chicago ranks 27th in runs scored in the majors, 29th in batting average, and 29th in on-base percentage.
Even though starter Travis Wood got rocked in his last start, allowing 7 runs and 10 hits in 2 2/3 innings in an 11-5 loss to Milwaukee, the Cubs are playing with a lot of confidence as they attempt to go in for the sweep against New York.
Nobody on the Cubs is on a major tear, but amazingly, Starlin Castro has delivered from the cleanup spot. He’s coming off of a 3 for 4 game with 3 RBI. Castro is not known for his power, but is putting up some decent power numbers.
deGrom has been as solid as they come, but I don’t trust the Mets bullpen. Look for Chicago to go for the sweep as Wood provides a bounce back performance tonight against the Amazins.
MLB Pick: Chicago -115 at 5 Dimes
Arizona Diamondbacks (25-36) vs. Colorado Rockies (28-30)
No Place Like the Road
The Arizona Diamondbacks are a very puzzling team in the fact that they’re better on the road than at home; the difference is immense.
At home, the D’backs are 9-22 while on the road, they’re 16-14. What better place for a good road team to play at than Coors Field? Even the Cubs and Padres can score 10 runs apiece in this ballpark.
Arizona is coming off of a huge 16-8 victory over the Rockies on Wednesday night in which they scored 6 runs in the 8th inning and 5 runs in the 9th inning to steal the game away from the Rockies. In total, the Diamondbacks had 21 hits for the game.
This is a place that turns players into stars; just ask Troy Tulowitzki who is hitting .512 at Coors Field with 9 HR and 27 RBI. On the road, “Tulo” is hitting just .234 with 6 HR and 13 RBI.
Hitters welcome a roster spot on the Rockies while pitchers might not be as happy. Another example of the Coors advantage is Justin Morneau. Morneau was a good hitter with the Twins, but when he was moved to Pittsburgh, he didn’t play so well. Now that he’s on the Rockies, his career has been revived. My point being, no matter who pitches at Coors Field, the odds makers are always going to place the total high and most of the games will go over the total like yesterday.
Tonight’s total is a massive 10.5 runs with Bronson Arroyo pitching (4-4, 4.39) for Arizona as Juan Nicasio (5-3, 4.06) takes the rubber for Colorado. Both of these pitchers are capable of solid pitching performances, but after what we just saw yesterday, I’m siding with the over.
MLB Pick: Colorado/Arizona Over 10.5 at 5 Dimes