Thursday, May 11 Free Baseball Picks: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Pirates pitcher Gerrit Cole in action

Thursday, May 11, 2017 2:16 PM GMT

So far this season Chase Field has been the one where pitchers go to die as it leads the major leagues in runs per game. Today two stellar pitchers take the mound for Pittsburgh and Arizona is there value in backing the under? 

Pittsburgh Pirates

Gerrit Cole gets the start for Pittsburgh and comes in with a 3.14 ERA and 1.05 whip and has pitched well in every game outside of his first start of the season. So far this year his numbers on the road are not that great with a 4.30 ERA, however over the past few seasons when he has had a chance to pitch against Arizona he has been good in limiting the damage. In his one appearance at Chase Field, he allowed just one earned run over seven innings pitched along with seven strikeouts. Of course, this a little bit different Arizona team than he faced before but still he should come in with some confidence even in this hitter’s ballpark. 

At the plate, Pittsburgh has been less than stellar across the board and currently ranks in the bottom five in the major leagues in some of the most important offensive categories including batting average, hits per game, and runs per game. They don’t strike out very much which is a good aspect for any major league team but there is just not anything for any pitcher to be afraid of when they face this lineup.

Arizona Diamondbacks

Zack Greinke gets the start for Arizona and is quietly having a good year with a 3.09 ERA and 1.17 whip. In five of his seven starts this year he is given up two earned runs or less and at home, he has been fantastic with a 2.66 ERA and batters hitting just .247 against him. There is no reason to think he can’t come in and put up a lot of zeros against the light-hitting Pirates. 

Arizona remains one of the more formidable teams in major league baseball ranking 13th in both batting average and OPS in the major leagues. Although I do expect them to score they don’t get the easy assignment today facing Cole so look for their damage to be limited. In the end, I believe this line is just a little bit too much for the nationally game, and although it makes sense because the field looks for both these pitchers have a quality start.

 Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks  

Oddsmakers have come out making the total for this game at 8.5 and for my MLB pick I’ll be backing the pitchers and under the total. Although the number makes sense considering Chase Field has been hitter-friendly this season both of these pitchers are solid and should limit the damage, back the under.

 

Free MLB Pick: Under 8.5Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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