This week we have three clubs poised to make money for those generating MLB picks by going over the betting odds. Each team’s story is a little different and we will explain why they should be profitable.
Milwaukee Brewers (35-23, +11.4 units)
It might be a little silly to call a team in first place being the second-most profitable team in baseball ‘undervalued,’ but if you have been following the media reports this past week, you will find several articles suggesting Milwaukee is ready to slip before long against the MLB odds.
What some baseball observers and MLB baseball handicappers are looking at is the Brewers 15-15 record since May 1, which is something we definitely agree with here at SBR. However, a tailspin will not occur in the short term.
The Brew Crew has a home and home with Minnesota to start the week, before continuing their road trip to Pittsburgh and New York to face the Mets. What we like about Milwaukee being on the road is their 16-11 record (+7.9 units). In addition, their offense is actually better away from Miller Park to this point of the season (4.4 vs. 4.0 runs a game) and the starting pitchers are second in the National League in on-base percentage allowed.
When we survey the home records of the three teams Milwaukee will face on the road they are 42-44, with only the Pirates above .500 at 16-13, giving them at least an opportunity to turn a profit.
L.A.A. Angels (30-26, 0.0)
As was stated in our division reports, we have some doubts about the killer instinct of the Angels, which was witnessed this past weekend as they were swept at Oakland, again failing to an elite team. Nonetheless, when it comes to making sports picks, the squad from Orange County has shown the capacity to forget and move on.
This next week the Halos will be at Houston and back home to take on the Chicago White Sox. Why Los Angeles sets up to be a good wager versus the sportsbooks is they are a 23-14 as favorites this season (+3.7) and figure to be in that role no loss than five times in the next week.
Considering the opposition this week has the 12th (Astros) and 14th (White Sox) ranked ERA’s in the American League, the Angels offense could start to score more runs again like they did earlier in the season, instead of average under four a contest like they have since May 21.
The Halos need to get hot in a hurry with the A’s in Anaheim starting Jun 9.
Colorado Rockies (28-28, -0.2)
I'm going to play a hunch with Colorado as they return to Coors Field. The Rockies are 2-8 in their last 10, yet are 16-7 (+7.2) in the Mile High City, and are facing an opponent in Arizona who could help them kick off a profit-driven 10-game homestand.
While the Diamondbacks have played better on the road than at home, not sure if they have the starting pitching to play in slugfests against a team averaging seven runs right at their own park.
If Colorado hits as expected, this can help them build confidence with the Dodgers and Atlanta coming into Denver next. Los Angeles has a good road at 16-11, but its offense has been extremely inconsistent all season which could benefit the Rockies. The Braves have taken their road record to .500, but they are still scoring just 3.3 RPG away from Atlanta, which is 26th in baseball.
This should be an excellent chance for those backing Colorado to build further profits with their baseball picks.