The big holiday is in the rearview mirror but we still have the rest of the month to place MLB picks because of the unofficial early start of summer. What should you be looking at today?
Well I have identified three favorites who look awfully tempting, even though a pair is on the road. As MLB baseball handicapper, I will trust my instincts that I can defeat the betting odds with these choices. You ready?
Marlins vs. Pirates: Pittsburgh Has the Look of a Lock
We all know when placing sports picks, there are no locks or 100 percent guarantees we will win against the MLB odds. Nonetheless, in name only we can use this word when it comes to Pittsburgh as -145 money line favorite at GTBets.eu.
Jeff Locke (2-2) is the Pirates starting pitcher and he’s hardly been a lock with his 5.28 season ERA. Locke opened 2015 with two wins and a 1.93 ERA in two starts, but has a 6.75 ERA in six outings since. However, the lefthander will have two elements in his favor which could help him and his team.
In Locke’s previous three starts against Miami, all Pirates wins, he’s had an ERA just over three in 18 2/3 innings, striking out 17 and walking only three. After floundering much of the season, the Pittsburgh offense is finally showing signs of life in averaging 5.2 runs per game and of equal importance averaging better than 10 hits a contest in this stretch.
Bucs hitter’s will face the Marlins Jose Urena (0-0, 9.00), who makes his first major league start. Urena, who is 23, allowed three runs in three innings of relief in April before he was sent to the minors. The right-hander went 4-0 with a 1.21 ERA in six starts for Triple-A, but will face a hot batting order that is 31-14 at PNC Park after four or more consecutive home games the last two seasons. Look for Locke to lock this one down.
MLB Pick – Pittsburgh -145
Giants vs. Brewers: San Fran Towers over Milwaukee with Bumgarner
Madison Bumgarner (5-2, 2.84) improved to 4-1 with a 1.60 ERA in his last five starts and he and San Francisco are -145 away faves at many sportsbooks. The Giants ace has an incredible 5.20 strikeout-to-walk ratio this season and he’s gone 29 starts including the postseason since walking more than two batters, limiting the opposition’s chances to score.
The same cannot be said of the Milwaukee starter Matt Garza (2-6, 5.71) is 0-3 with a 7.15 ERA this month. For the season Garza has been better at Miller Park than on the road with a still high 4.13 ERA, with the Brew Crew 1-3 in those starts.
However, Bumgarner has never mind facing Milwaukee home or away, allowing one earned run in two career starts at Miller Park and in seven overall against the Brewers, he's 4-2 with a 1.65 ERA. With the Giants having the third-best record in baseball this month at 17-7 and Bumgarner 14-1 in road games vs. a NL team with an on-base percentage .325 or worse the last two seasons (Giants Record), I like their chances.
MLB Pick – San Francisco -145
Tigers vs. Athletics: Detroit after a Stronger Showing
The Tigers played like they had jet lag on Monday afternoon, registering only four singles in being shut-out by Oakland 4-0. Detroit has dropped three in a row and is coming off a disappointing 3-4 homestand. David Price (3-1, 3.32) takes the ball for the Tigers and though he has not registered a decision in his previous four starts, his team is 8-1 when he takes the mound.
Journeyman starter Jesse Chavez (1-4, 2.89) has not pitched badly, having an ERA lower than Price, as he looks to lead Oakland to its fourth straight win. This might not be easily accomplished even as only +100 home underdogs since the A’s are 6-14 at O.Co Coliseum and 8-27 as an underdog of +100 or higher since last year. Conversely, Price is 13-3 when the MLB odds money line is -100 to -150 the last two seasons. (Team's Record)
MLB Pick – Detroit -110