These Pitchers Inspire Betting the Total for 8/23 MLB Picks

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, August 23, 2014 12:19 PM GMT

Our MLB betting odds guru continues his daily challenge to find MLB betting value. By looking at the starting pitchers in Orioles vs. Cubs & Mets vs. Dodgers, he has decided to bet the total.

Orioles (Norris) vs. Cubs (Hendricks) 2:20 PM ET
The Orioles starter Bud Norris has been razor sharp over his last 4-starts with a 2.59 ERA, a 1.11 WHIP, and a 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Norris has gone 7-5 against the money on the road with a 4.35 ERA. He was a perfect 2-0 versus the Cubs a season ago with an excellent 1.50 ERA, and both of those games went under the total.

The Cubs starter Kyle Hendricks has been sensational during his past 6-starts. In those outings the Cubs right-hander has compiled brilliant numbers, posting a 1.03 ERA and 0.89 WHIP. In 3-starts at Wrigley Field this season he’s posted a microscopic 0.44 ERA.

 

Advantage: The Cubs young hurler’s recent performance line speaks for itself. He’ll certainly need to pitch at that high of a level today if he hopes to walk away with a win. The Cubs have averaged just 2.5 runs per contest over their past 14-games. The Orioles starter Norris is on his game right now, and as I alluded to earlier, he was outstanding in a pair of appearances versus the Cubs in 2013. I like this to be a low scoring affair, and will be making a MLB wager on going under the MLB betting odds total.

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Mets (Degrom) vs. Dodgers (Greinke) 9:10 PM ET
The Mets Jacob Degrom has been superb over his last 6-starts, going 5-1 against the money, with a 1.55 ERA, a 0.96 WHIP, and a nearly 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio. He’s gone 7-9 against the money in 2014 with a stellar 2.87 ERA, and this will be his first career start versus the Dodgers.

The Dodger Zack Greinke has gone just 13-12 against the money this season, but his 2.75 ERA, and better than 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio certainly indicates he’s been a bit unlucky. Greinke uncharacteristically walked 5-men in his last start versus the Brewers, but still didn’t allow an earned run. Putting those rare control issues into perspective, before his outing versus the Brewers, the Dodgers right-hander had walked just 2 in 28.0 innings during his previous 4-starts. Greinke has seen 31 of 45 (69%) in his career go under the total, after allowing no earned runs in his previous start. He will be facing a Mets team that has an OBP of just .302 on the season. Greinke has gone an outstanding 22-4 (.846) against the money in his career, when facing a National League opponent, with an OBP of .315 or less.

 

Advantage: Both of these pitchers have the goods to make this an old fashioned pitcher’s duel. I like this one to play on the low side of the totals ledger. My lean here is to make a MLB pick on going under the total. Take advantage of this advice at a trusted sportsbook like Pinnacle Sports.

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