The Reds Give Rays a Devil of a Time Wednesday Afternoon

CInci Reds

Doug Upstone

Tuesday, June 20, 2017 7:40 PM GMT

Cincinnati ended their long nine-game losing streak on Monday on Florida's west coast and now those betting baseball are wondering if the Reds can finish off the Rays on the road.

With Cincinnati 11-21 (as of 6/20) away from home (-5.4 units), will they have the gumption to complete the task or do the Rays stop swinging and missing long enough to engineer a victory? Let's go piece by piece to understand what is the best course of action against the MLB odds.

 

Pitching Matchup - Adelman vs. Ramirez

Tim Adelman (4-3, 4.22 ERA) is in his second year as a Reds starting pitcher and is hardly a hot young prospect at 29. Throughout his career, the right-hander has been susceptible to the long ball and that has not changed in the big leagues where he has been taken deep 25 times in 24 starts. He's stayed out tremendous trouble by permitting only a .232 batting average.

Erasmo Ramirez (3-2, 5.17) moved into Tampa Bay's starting rotation in mid-May and has been a mixed bag as expected. Ramirez does not have three quality pitches to keep hitters off-balance more than twice through the batting order and in last outing he was clubbed for 10 runs (8 earned) in 4 2/3 innings. How will Ramirez hold up this afternoon?

 

What Offense Come Through in This Matinee?

During Cincinnati's losing stretch, it was a combination of not enough defense or pitching, outscored 63-30. The 3.3 runs a game is not going to ever be enough and when matched with pathetic pitching, that is how losing streaks develop. To win this ballgame, Joey Votto, Adam DuVall and Scott Schebler all have to come through with or without runners on base against a pitcher they can knock around.

Tampa Bay's offense feels like it has one of three outcomes. The Rays offense tallies 4.7 RPG and this is accomplished by being 2nd in the majors in home runs and 4th in walks, because there .253 batting average is not worrying opposing pitchers. Tampa Bay hurts itself many times because they lead the big leagues in strikeouts. And while we understand all the nuisances of this type of baseball, consider if the Rays were average in strikeouts, that would be over 160 more balls in play, some that could be hits or errors, which places more pressure on defenses. #justsaying

 

Betting Odds, Interleague Record and Bullpen Numbers

Tampa Bay was sent out as -145 fave with total of 9.5. The Reds are 5-7 in interleague play this season with the Rays 3-2 as of yesterday. The Cincinnati bullpen is overworked because of poor starting pitchers and leads the bigs in innings pitched. Not sure how this group will hold onto Top 10 ERA. Tampa Bay pensters permit about a half a run more than their opponent and are tied with the most blown saves in the game.

 

The Winner Is...

For MLB picks, going to play a hunch that the Reds are more relaxed with losing streak over. They will go against a pitcher they can hit and have the better bullpen. Cincinnati does enough to win the contest.

Free MLB Play: Cincinnati +127Best Betting Line: at Heritage

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