The Red Sox vs. Yankees MLB Pick Goes to The 'Under'

Jeff Grant

Thursday, September 4, 2014 12:53 PM UTC

Thursday, Sep. 4, 2014 12:53 PM UTC

The Boston Red Sox have fallen short of the betting total at a consistent rate when facing left-handed starters, which will lead to a low-scoring affair against the New York Yankees Thursday night.

About to Head Home
Boston is 5-4 on its current 10-game road trip, as it looks to bounce back from a 5-1 setback to New York as +161 underdogs Wednesday, while going UNDER the betting total for the fourth time in five affairs.

The Red Sox have won seven of 10 games when closing out a trip away from Fenway Park this year, which is important to consider when making your MLB betting picks, but designated hitter David Ortiz is hitting just .196 against the Yankees in 2014.

MLB handicappers will find that the club is 20-24 versus southpaw starters, with the UNDER going 26-16-2 in that situation.


A Crucial Period
New York will play 15 of its final 25 games at Yankee Stadium, as it tries to chase down the Detroit Tigers and Seattle Mariners in the American League Wild Card standings, but the squad is just 20-19 versus tonight’s opponent since Sept. 12, 2012.

The Bronx Bombers are 65-23 when allowing four-of-fewer runs this season, which can’t be ignored when looking over the MLB odds, as that happens to be the ninth-best mark of its kind in the Majors.

It’s important to point out that the franchise has split its 16 contests at home with a betting total of 9 to 9.5, with the UNDER going 10-4-2 in those opportunities.


Red Sox starting pitcher Brandon Workman (1-8, 4.93 ERA) is mired in a personal seven-game losing streak—compiling a 6.52 ERA over that span.

The right-hander is 1-3 with a 4.55 ERA in seven road games (five starts), with opposing hitters batting .227 against him (.271 at home).

Workman has allowed two runs in 3.1 innings of relief in his career against the Yankees, as the former second-round pick tries to make a good impression with manager John Farrell in September.


Yankees starting pitcher Chris Capuano (2-3, 4.24 ERA) has led the club to back-to-back wins, including a 6-3 road victory over the Toronto Blue Jays last time out, as he surrendered three runs (two earned) and eight hits over 6.1 innings of work.

The left-hander began the season with the Red Sox (1-1, 4.55 ERA), while he’s produced a 1-2 record and 4.01 ERA in seven starts during his time in the Bronx.

Capuano should be able to control Boston’s running game, as he has not allowed a stolen base in 74.1 frames this year.


I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their MLB picks, as the UNDER s 9-3-1 in the Red Sox last 13 road games versus left-handed starters.

Boston has also fallen short of the total in all five of its games against southpaws since acquiring outfielder Yoenis Cespedes from the Oakland Athletics last month.
Free MLB Pick:  Under 9 AT 5Dimes

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