The Price is Right: MLB Bettors in Prime Position to Back Tigers' Ace as Small Dog

Darin Zank

Tuesday, June 23, 2015 1:05 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jun. 23, 2015 1:05 PM UTC

In a rematch of a 4-0 Detroit victory two weeks ago David Price and the Tigers take on Danny Salazar and the Indians. This handicapper is hoping for a repeat of that outcome tonight.

Tigers-Indians Tuesday Betting Odds
In the early betting the best price we could find on Detroit and David Price was the +104 offered at GT Bets, while Cleveland and Danny Salazar could be found at -109 at Heritage. And the total on tonight's game was listed at seven runs.


The Situation
Detroit took the opener of this series Monday night 8-5, continuing its recent dominance over its division rival. Over the last three seasons the Tigers have taken 33 of 47 games from the Tribe.

However, over the weekend the Kitties lost two of three games to the Yankees, and just before that they dropped two of three to Cincinnati. At 36-34 Detroit trails division-leading Kansas City by 5.5 games in the AL Central, but sits just two games back in the battle for the second American League wild-card spot.

Cleveland lost two of three to Tampa Bay over the weekend, while just before that it took two of three from the Cubs. But going back a bit further the Indians are 1-4 in their last five series, 5-9 over their last 14 games.

At 32-37 Cleveland is nine games back in the AL Central, 5.5 games back in that wild-card race.

Detroit leads the season series this year eight games to two, with the OVERS going 8-2.


Tuesday's Twirlers
Tonight's pitching match-up is a repeat of a game played 11 days ago, a 4-0 Detroit victory.

Salazar (6-2, 3.56) is 6/12 on quality starts this season, and two for his last three. Last Thursday Salazar allowed two earned runs through 4 2/3 innings against the Cubs, before leaving during a rain delay, and over his last three starts he's allowed six earned runs through 18 2/3 innings. For the season Salazar has allowed fewer hits, 67, than innings pitched, 73, walked 19 and struck out 91; Cleveland is 9-3 in Salazar's starts, with the totals splitting 6-6.

Since the beginning of last season Salazar has started five times against Detroit, allowing 12 runs through 33 1/3 innings; the Indians lost three of those games.

Price (6-2, 2.50) is 8/14 on quality starts this season. Last time out, in a rain-shortened effort against Cincinnati, Price gave up two runs through five innings, and over his last six starts he's allowed seven ER through 44 1/3 innings. On the season Price has given up fewer hits, 87, than innings pitched, 97, walked 21 and struck out 88; Detroit is 11-3 in Price's starts, with the totals splitting 7-7.

Since the beginning of last season Price has started four times against Cleveland, giving up just two ER through 29 1/3 innings; the Tigers won all four of those games.


Tuesday's Batting Splits
Detroit ranks third in the Majors this season against right-handed pitching with a .331 team OBP.

Cleveland ranks fourth against lefties this season with a .337 OBP.


Ballpark Totals Factor
Games played at Progressive Field this season are 20-16 on the OVERS, averaging 9.4 runs per.


Tigers-Indians Tuesday Free Picks
These two starting pitchers produced a 4-0 Detroit victory 11 days ago, and we like the idea of Price getting an underdog price in Tuesday's MLB odds. So we'll bet tonight's game with hopes of a repeat performance.

MLB Picks: Tigers +104 at GT Bets and UNDER seven runs (+105) at Heritage

comment here