Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Picks: Sunday, May 14th

Jay Pryce

Sunday, May 14, 2017 1:30 PM UTC

Sunday, May. 14, 2017 1:30 PM UTC

The Red Sox and Rays wrap up their weekend series at Fenway under poor conditions. It is cold, wet, and windy in Boston. Will it hamper hitting? We think so.

Tampa Bay Rays (18-21)

Since the start of 2016, the Rays are 18-35 SU on the road against AL East rivals. They dropped their 11th of 15 matchups this season 6-3 against Red Sox ace Chris Sale on Saturday. Tampa hitters Logan Morrison and Kevin Kiermaier blasted homeruns in defeat, but run production continues to be a problem in this spot. The lineup crosses the plate just 3.47 times per contest.

Matt Andriese hopes to find better support on the hill on Sunday. The right-hander is 2-1 with a 3.12 ERA in seven starts this season. Versus the Sox, Andriese is 1-1 with a 4.21 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 25.2 innings lifetime. Boston’s current roster is hitting .279 collectively. Xander Bogaerts, who saw his 15-game hitting streak snapped yesterday, is 1-for-12, while Jackie Bradley is O-fer in 11 plate appearances.

The Rays are 4-9 SU  when Andriese goes off a road underdog, supporting the three-year pro with just 2.62 runs per game. Fading the Rays has netted 18 percent profit with chalk an average -149 odds. Andriese did put in two quality starts in his only two efforts as a road pup this season against the Yankees and Blue Jays. The righty was supported with three runs total.


Boston Red Sox (19-17)

The Red Sox nearly slipped to .500 yesterday for the first time since April 15. Not the best start for a team that began the season at -155 odds to win the division. Still, Boston fans have to feel good about taking the series finale against the Rays. In the last calendar year, the Sox are 20-9 SU at Fenway versus teams with a losing record.

Drew Pomeranz takes the pill for manager John Farrell. The 2016 NL All-Star has dealt with forearm soreness since coming over in a trade with the Padres last July. He underwent a stem cell shot in his arm in October. One has to wonder if the pain is back. Pomeranz is 3-2 with a 5.23 ERA in six outings. He’s put in two quality starts all season and was rocked for six earned runs on seven hits through four frames in his last effort at Milwaukee.

The southpaw is 2-1 with a 3.58 ERA is six outings (five starts) versus Tampa lifetime. The current roster is a combined 17-for-85 (.200) with a .617 OPS against. Shortstop Brad Miller sees Pomeranz best. He’s 7-for-15 lifetime with a double, triple, and homerun.

Pomeranz has not been profitable as chalk at Fenway. The Sox are 5-4 SU in this spot, going off -162 favorites on average. Backing road pups has returned 10 percent profit.


Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox

It is cold, wet, and windy in Boston. Game time temperatures are expected to hover in the high 40s with gusts blowing in over the Green Monster at 20 MPH. Combine this with the fact the Rays can’t hit Pomeranz, and the heart of the Red Sox lineup went 0-for-15 with one walk in the victory Saturday, and the UNDER 8.5 offers value.

 Free MLB Pick: Under 8.5Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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