Talking Trends on Totals For Remainder of Postseason

Doug Upstone

Friday, October 13, 2017 3:42 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 13, 2017 3:42 PM UTC

We are down to the Final Four of the baseball playoffs and start a best-of-7 series in each League Championship Series as the Astros and Yankees face off in the Junior Circuit and Dodgers and Cubs in the Senior. Here are some totals trends for each club. 

Our thoughts here will pertain to making a profile on each team for making MLB picks on baseball totals. Because we do not know the exact pitching matchups, and even if we did managers could maneuver pitchers around based in need or desperation.  Thus, we look at the tendencies of the clubs and try and help you when going up against the MLB odds.

Houston Astros

Having Dallas Keuchel and Justin Verlander on the surface should mean Unders with how they have been pitching. While these two hurlers might do a good job in preventing runs, they also pitch for the No. 1 offense in baseball, as Houston started the ALCS averaging 5.5 runs a game. Now healthy again, this is the deepest lineup in baseball top to bottom, and who knows who gets hot among these players. The best part about the Astros is two years ago when they burst on the scene, they led the majors in striking out. Now with maturity and learning to hit the right way, Houston batters had the fewest strikeouts, putting the ball in play. Expect 70 percent of their games to be Overs.

New York Yankees

Whenever your series goes the max against an opponent's who did not, the foe has the ability to set their pitching rotation and you have to wing it. The Yankees do not care, they are thrilled to be playing for the AL pennant. New York has the second-best offense in the big leagues at 5.3 RPG and has a very good lineup, just not as deep as the Houston's. The Bronx Bombers were the best in baseball in hitting home runs (the Astros were second) and do not expect that just to dry up. The Yankees starting pitching is a little above average, but their bullpen is deep and effective. Look for at least 60 percent of the New York contests to be Overs.

Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers were the top scoring team in the NL most of the season. When they were in that hideous slump of losing 16 of 17, they fell off dramatically and sit at 4.8 RPG, the lowest among the remaining teams. The Los Angeles offense we have seen most of the year has been rounding back into form, which is a positive development. Why L.A. appears to be no more than a 50-50 wager on totals is a fantastic bullpen, which was the best in the NL and fourth overall. (The Yankees were 3rd)

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs' situation is similar to the Dodgers' but what Chicago them a tough choice in looking at totals is the team's up-and-down nature. It is easy to forget that in the World Series last year, Chicago was shut out twice and scored 10 total runs in the first five games before exploding for 17 in the final two contests, both on the road. If by chance the Cubs would have 11 games remaining in the postseason, I would call for six to be Unders.  Chicago averages 5.0 RPG and has good pitching staff, you just do not know how it will work for the Cubs game to game.

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