Take Wheeler, Mets against Padres' League-Worst Offense

Dana Lane

Sunday, April 29, 2018 2:19 AM UTC

Sunday, Apr. 29, 2018 2:19 AM UTC

New York has won five of its last eight games in San Diego and is 20-8 against teams with a winning percentage of .400 or less. Look for those trends to continue today.

MLB Sunday: Mets (16-9 SU) vs. Padres (10-18 SU)Free MLB Pick: Mets +110Best Line Offered: Intertops

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There are some people who have suggested that the San Diego Padres make a serious push to get New York Mets right-hander Matt Harvey. I suppose the theory stems from the fact that fans and media know that this is bad-hitting team and has been since the 2004 season. The game is different now; you need to score runs to compete in today’s game.

The Mets' biggest issue today is hanging on to the top spot in the National League East and making sure that Keith Hernandez knows he’s off camera before describing the finer points of shaving. New York, which led Philadelphia by a half-game entering today's action, sends Zack Wheeler (1-1, 4.24 ERA) to the mound against Bryan Mitchell (0-2, 5.76).

The opening number of the series finale had the Mets a reasonable -125 but don’t expect that number to last long on the MLB odds board. The public will no doubt be more than happy to take the small price with the superior Mets. The quicker you bet this game the better. Road favorites have been fantastic early on with a sparkling record of 94-52 producing a win percentage of 64% so the fact that New York traveled across country for this one won’t scare bettors off like it does other sports.

San Diego has lost bettors almost 600 units this season, due in part to their 5-11 record at home, including Saturday's 12-2 pounding of New York. If the Padres finish last in hitting in 2018, this will be the 8th time since the 1999 season that would have that title. Only twice this season has Andy Green been able to submit the same lineup. There hasn’t been any stability in the important spots in the order. The Padres have had eight players hit in the fifth spot and seven hitting six. Between the second and third spot San Diego has had 13 different players try their luck.

The Mets have been a reliable wager this season securing 877 units of profit. They own a better road record (9-5) than home (7-4), which gives bettors the peace of mind that they’ll get the same quality effort no matter the venue.

New York isn’t going to light up the scoreboard, either, but they’ll produce enough to overcome the deficient Padres.

The Mets have never been the staff you want to face when you’re looking to break out of a slump. In fact, the Mets began the weekend on a seven-game win streak against teams that scored two runs or less in their previous game. Although the doesn't apply here, jump on the Mets with your MLB picks.

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