Take the Visiting Team on the Run-Line as the Red Sox Shoot for Two in a Row in Philly

Darin Zank

Wednesday, April 8, 2015 1:49 PM GMT

Wednesday, Apr. 8, 2015 1:49 PM GMT

Boston began what it hopes to be a return to the playoffs with an 8-0 whitewash of Philly Monday. The Sox are favored to make it two in a row over the seemingly hapless Phillies to start this season Wednesday night.

Sox-Phillies Betting Odds
The MLB odds opened this game with Boston and newcomer Rick Porcello favored by around -135 over Philly and newcomer Aaron Harang, with a total of eight runs. In the early betting many books bumped the Sox to the -145 range, and dropped the total to 7.5.

 

Sox-Phillies: The Situation
Boston took the opener of this series Monday 8-0, hitting five homers, getting seven shutout innings from starter Clay Buchholz and two more from the bullpen. The Red Sox won as -105 “favorites” on the betting line, and the game played OVER its total of 7.5 when another Boston newcomer, Hanley Ramirez, hit his second home run of the day, a grand slam in the top of the ninth.

Philly starter Cole Hamels got knocked around for four solo homers in five innings, and the Philadelphia Phillies bats accumulated just three hits.

Boston's other big off-season pick-up, Pablo Sandoval, went 0-for-5 at the plate with three strikeouts.

Boston is trying to bounce back after going 71-91 last season. The Sox have made some big changes, bringing in guys like Ramirez, Sandoval and Porcello, and are expecting to jump right back into postseason contention. Boston went off this season with a wins OVER/UNDER of 86, getting around 2/1 to win the AL East.

Philly, on the other hand, might be the worst team in baseball, going off this season with a wins OVER/UNDER of 67, the lowest on the board.

 

Wednesday's Whirlers
Porcello will be making his first start for his new team, after coming over in a trade with Detroit over the winter, and his first start since signing that fat new contract. The righty went 15-13 for the Tigers last season with a 3.43 ERA, going 21-for-31 on quality starts. He gave up more hits, 211, than innings pitched, 205, while compiling a 129/41 strikeouts/walks ratio.

But are numbers like that worth $22 million a year?

Detroit went 16-15 in Porcello's starts last year, while the totals went 14-16.

Porcello last faced Philly two seasons ago, when as a Tiger he gave up three runs in six innings of a 12-4 Detroit victory.

Harang will be making his first start for his new team, after signing with Philly over the off-season. The veteran righty went 12-12 last year with Atlanta with a respectable 3.57 ERA, going 24-for-33 on quality starts. Harang also allowed more hits, 215, than innings pitched, 204, walked 71 and struck out 161.

The Braves went 15-18 in Harang's starts last season, while the totals went 14-18.

Harang faced the Red Sox once last season, holding them to two runs through six innings of a game his Braves eventually lost 6-3.

 

Sox-Phillies Free Pick
That Boston lineup looks like it could be dangerous, while Philly just looks bad. So we like the Sox to make it two in a row for our Wednesday night MLB picks. And in looking for a price we'll play the visiting team on the run line.

Free MLB Pick: Boston +113 on the run line at Pinnacle

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