Take Mets vs. Giants to go 'Under' for MLB Picks

Steven Suarez

Friday, June 6, 2014 1:56 PM UTC

Friday, Jun. 6, 2014 1:56 PM UTC

Owning the best record in the MLB, the Giants should continue to pile up wins with a 10-game home stand coming up. Let's run over their chances for tonight's series opener against the Mets, a game in which San Francisco enters as clear-cut favorites in the baseball betting odds.

Odds Overview
The Giants are -135 favorites for tonight's game at home, with New York there for the taking at approximately +125. 

Given the fact we've got two solid hurlers on the mound, tonight's O/U is understandably low at seven runs.

New York Mets (Niese)
Getting swept by the Cubs is hardly the way you'd like to prepare for a three-game road series against the league's best team in San Francisco. 

New York dropped all three games at Wrigley and now stand at 28-32 overall on the year. Luckily for them, no one's been able to pull away in the NL East, meaning the Mets remain only four games back of first place despite being in fourth right now.

Jonathon Niese has been a key hog in New York's rotation and will get the start tonight.

Niese, despite a pedestrian 3-3 record, has logged a 2.69 ERA and 1.18 WHIP so far this season. The left-hander has allowed three or fewer runs in all 11 of his starts thus far and hopes to continue that streak in San Francisco.

As for the Mets' offense, or lack thereof, it hasn't been pretty. They're hitting a meager .224 as a team over the last seven days and don't have a single regular that's batting over .300 for the season. Daniel Murphy (.297) is the closest.

San Francisco Giants (Cain)
After a month of May that saw them go 19-9, the Giants have kept it going in the early stages of June, winning three of their first four games this month. 

San Francisco just wrapped up a very successful road trip which saw them take three of four in St. Louis and two of three in Cincinnati. The Giants are now 39-21 overall and have already built up a staggering 8.5-game lead in the NL West.

The rich only get richer. Matt Cain returns from the disabled list after sitting out for a couple weeks due to a hamstring problem.

Cain has been far from spectacular in 2014, but he's still managed a solid 3.66 ERA and 1.22 WHIP through eight starts. He's allowed only five earned runs in 14 and 2/3 innings of work at home this season, with opponents hitting just .189 against him.

We know Cain will have to be at his best if he wants the winning decision tonight, considering Niese will be on the mound for the Mets and is unlikely to get beat up. We can't wait to see who wins this pitching duel.


MLB Pick
It's tough to say what we'll see out of Cain in his first start for over two weeks, but he couldn't ask for a much better matchup than the one he's getting tonight. He'll be at home against a Mets team that's ranked 30th in slugging percentage and 28th in team batting average. 

When you also consider how strong Niese has looked, posting a 2.43 ERA in five road starts, you have to like the look of the UNDER as one of our MLB picks. San Francisco, in spite of their stellar record recently, has hit only .243 against lefties this season.

As such, we believe it's in our best interest to recommend the UNDER in the series opener at AT&T Park.

Free MLB Pick: UNDER 7
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