Take Mets +104 vs. Phillies to MLB Picks

Jeff Grant

Thursday, May 29, 2014 1:33 PM GMT

The New York Mets have enjoyed playing in the City of Brotherly Love, which makes them dangerous road underdogs against the Philadelphia Phillies Thursday night. Where have we decided to place our MLB picks in this battle?

Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting odds for this National League East affair at Citizens Bank Park, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.

Give our MLB Picks of the Day a read for more free plays.

Life on the road
New York went 4-5 on its recently completed nine-game homestand against the Pittsburgh Pirates, Arizona Diamondbacks and Los Angeles Dodgers—but the franchise will now play 25 of 33 away from Citi Field.

Mets third baseman David Wright has struggled to hit the ball out of the park this season, but he’s batting .383 during a current 11-game road hitting streak.

MLB handicappers will find that the squad is 11-9 when taking on teams with a losing record.


A difficult matchup
Philadelphia has alternated wins and losses over its last six games, as it looks to build off a 6-3 win over the Colorado Rockies as -125 home favorites Wednesday, with no edge in regards to the betting total in that span (3-3 Over/Under). 

The Phillies have dropped their last five home games against the Mets—getting outscored by a 29-12 margin. 

Since the start of the 2012 campaign, the club is 22-25 at home with a money line of -100 to -125.


Wheeler
Mets starting pitcher Zack Wheeler (1-5, 4.63 ERA) has suffered back-to-back losses, including a 3-2 setback at home to the Arizona Diamondbacks in his last effort—giving up three runs (two earned) and six hits over 6.2 innings of work. 

The right-hander is 1-3 with a 5.68 ERA in six road outings, with opposing hitters batting .298 against him (.247 at home). 

In two career starts versus the Phillies, Wheeler has compiled a 0-1 record and 3.18 ERA.


Buchanan
Phillies starting pitcher David Buchanan (1-0, 3.60 ERA) registered a 5-3 home win over the Los Angeles Dodgers in his professional debut last week, as he allowed two runs and five hits over five frames. 

The right-hander threw only 66 pitches in that affair, but he figures to have a longer leash with first-year manager Ryne Sandberg in his second appearance.

Buchanan was 5-1 with a 3.98 ERA in nine starts with Triple-A Lehigh Valley before getting called up. 

[gameodds]3/287183/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Mets as one of their MLB picks, as they’ve gone 5-0 in Wheeler’s last five road starts versus teams with a losing record.

Free NBA Pick:  New York Mets