Take The Giants vs. Tigers as Your MLB Pick for Sunday

Darin Zank

Sunday, September 7, 2014 1:36 PM GMT

San Francisco has taken the first two games of this series in Detroit, and now shoots for the sweep Sunday night (8 pm ET, ESPN). Here's our breakdown of tonight's match-up, with a free MLB pick.

The Line
As of early Sunday morning Pinnacle was chalking Detroit with lefty Kyle Lobstein at -106, with San Francisco and Tim Hudson getting +101. And most books were listing the NFL odds for the total on Sunday night's game at 8.5 runs.

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The Situation
San Francisco won Friday night's series opener 8-2, rapping out 15 hits while getting a quality start from Jake Peavy. The Giants then won Saturday 5-4, scoring four times with two outs in the first inning off Detroit starter David Price.

Frisco won as a +125 dog Friday night, and a +130 dog Saturday. And both those games played 'over' the totals.

With three losses in their last four games the Tigers now trail the first-place Royals by two games in the AL Central. They're also a game and a half back of the Mariners in the battle for the second American League wild-card spot.

With victories in the first two games of this series San Francisco has won nine of its last 11 to stay close in the NL West race and pull away in the wild-card race. At 78-64 the Giants trail the first-place Dodgers by two games in the NL West, but lead the NL wild-card race by four games over both the Brewers and Braves.

 

Sunday's Starters
Lobstein (0-0, 3.18) will make his third career start and fourth ML appearance Sunday night, since getting the call a couple of weeks ago. In his ML debut he gave up three runs in 5 2/3 innings against the Twins; then he held the Yankees to one ER through six innings; and last time out he gave up two runs in 5 1/3 innings against the Indians, striking out 10.

On the season Lobstein, a second-round pick in the 2008 draft, has allowed 13 hits through 17 innings, walked eight and struck out 13. Detroit is 2-0 in his starts, with the totals going 0-2. 

Lobstein “earned” a chance with the big club by going 9-11/4.07 at Triple-A Toledo earlier this season.

Tim Hudson (9-9, 3.08) is 16/27 on quality starts, but only, by our tough standards, one for his last six. Last time out he took a 7-2 lead into the sixth inning at Colorado, but gave up four runs. However, in his two starts previous to that he held the Nationals and Rockies to two ER through 13 1/3 innings.

On the season Hudson has allowed 171 hits in 173 innings, walked just 30 and struck out 111. San Francisco is 17-10 in Hudson's starts, with the totals going 13-12.

This will be Hudson's first start against Detroit since 2004, when he was with Oakland.

As far as the bullpens in this match-up go San Francisco ranks fourth in ERA at 2.85, with 41 saves in 58 chances, while Detroit ranks 27th in ERA at 4.26, with 34 saves in 48 chances.

 

Giants-Tigers Betting Trends
San Francisco has been better on the road this year, 40-31, than at home, 38-33.

Detroit has also been better on the road, 42-33, than at home, 35-32.

 

Free MLB Pick
San Francisco looks like it might be heating up, heading into the stretch run, while Detroit seems sluggish. So we'll go with the Giants to complete the sweep for our free MLB pick for Sunday.