Take Advantage Of Early Tuesday MLB Betting & Bust Your Bookie

Ian Cameron

Monday, May 9, 2016 7:04 PM GMT

Monday, May. 9, 2016 7:04 PM GMT

Our excellent sports handicapper provides an overnight look for some top games happening on Tuesday. Get your MLB pick here before the sharps do. 

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds
The Pittsburgh Pirates are the better of these teams and have as good or better of a lineup, better starting pitching particularly in this matchup and a better bullpen making this short road chalk price look cheap to support Pittsburgh on Tuesday night. Juan Nicasio has been up and down this season and most of his worse starts have been on the road where he has a 6.75 ERA in two starts away from PNC Park although he did pitch a gem against Cincinnati earlier this season at home tossing 7 innings of 3 hit, shutout baseball against the Reds back on April 29th. I think it will be a tougher task for Nicasio to pitch as well here at Great American Ballpark against a Reds team that will get a 2nd look at him.

However, Alfredo Simon will be opposing Nicasio in this game and he has been a ‘bet against’ pitcher for me all season. I’ll give Simon some credit for having his best outing of the season by far last time out against Milwaukee working 7.2 innings while allowing 3 runs on 7 hits. I’m not ready to draw a conclusion that Simon is suddenly back on track after just one good start because prior to that, he was getting absolutely shelled by opposing hitters and it’s worth noting he will be facing a Pirates lineup in good form that has scored 4+ runs in 7 of their last 10 games and will get a third chance against Simon after they have faced him twice already.

Pittsburgh scored 2 runs on 5 hits in 5 innings against Simon on April 8th and scored 3 runs on 6 hits in 4 innings against him here in Cincinnati on April 30th and Simon was forced to throw 98 pitches in just those 4 innings. The Pirates had a better approach against Simon in the 2nd time facing him and I think they will be even better against him here in the 3rd encounter against him this season as nothing Simon throws at them with his mediocre delivery should surprise this Pittsburgh lineup. Pittsburgh should have the upper hand in the latter innings if this game is close with their pen being at least somewhat better than a horrible 30th ranked Reds bullpen. I’ll recommend the total in this game as your MLB picks and take Pittsburgh as a small road favorite and the game to go Over the total of 9 runs.

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Free MLB Pick: Pittsburgh -125 and Over 9 -110 
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

 

Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants
The Toronto Blue Jays should once again have a starting pitching edge on Tuesday night in the second game of their Interleague series against the San Francisco Giants. J.A. Happ has been a model of consistency so far this season as the Jays lefty has surrendered 3 runs or less in each of his six starts and has worked at least 6 innings in each of those outings. Happ has solid numbers on the road with a 2.75 ERA and just 6 runs allowed in 19.2 innings pitched away from home.

Matt Cain is the polar opposite and has easily been the second worst starter in the San Francisco rotation right behind Jake Peavy. Cain has been hammered for 14 runs on 17 hits in 10 innings of work in his last two starts against the NY Mets and Colorado and pitching at home hasn’t provided any more of a success rate for Cain who has a brutal 6.64 ERA in four starts here at AT&T Park this season and San Francisco as a team are just 1-3 in Cain’s home starts and 1-5 in his 6 starts overall.

Cain has allowed 5 home runs in his last three starts which could be a big problem against the multiple home run hitters that Toronto has in their potent and power laden lineup. I’ll side with Toronto as a road favorite on the MLB odds and also play this game Over the total as the Over is 3-2 in Happ’s last 5 starts and 3-0 in Cain’s last 3 starts.

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Free MLB Pick: Toronto -120 and Over 8 -113
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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