Take Advantage of Cheap Betting Price for Dodgers Saturday

Ross Benjamin

Friday, July 18, 2014 10:12 PM GMT

Friday, Jul. 18, 2014 10:12 PM GMT

We will take a look at the afternoon game in the National league between the Dodgers and Cardinals, and project who has the betting odds edge. Read our take on this contest before making your MLB picks today.

Matinee Affair in the Heart of America
The Cardinals host the Dodgers on Saturday afternoon at Busch Stadium in St. Louis with the first pitch slated for 4:05 PM ET. According to MLB betting odds at the time of this writing the Dodgers are a -125 money line road favorite and the posted total is 7.5.

 

The Starting Pitchers
The Dodgers will send Zack Greinke to the mound for this matinee affair. Greinke's pitching has displayed very good form during his previous 3-starts posting a terrific 2.05 ERA and 13:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Dodgers right-hander has pitched much better than his 5-6 money line record on the road may indicate. In those 11 starts he posted a solid 2.73 ERA and just short of a 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Since the start of the 2012 season the Dodgers hurler has gone 5-1 against the money line versus St. Louis with a super 1.74 ERA, a 0.97 WHIP, and a better than 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio.

The Cardinals will counter with right-hander Joe Kelly. He’s made just 4-starts this season due to injury, including just 1-outing since April 16th. That start occurred 8-days ago at Milwaukee, and it was an awful one. Kelly allowed 6 earned runs, 7-hits, and walked 2 in just 3.0 innings of work. Kelly was 2-1 against the money line in 3-starts versus the Dodgers in 2013, and posted a 3.86 ERA in those appearances.

 

Dodgers Lean on the Low Side
The Dodgers enter this weekend series having struggled to create offense in the previous 5-games before the all-star break. In those 5 contests they averaged a paltry 1.6 runs and 6.0 hits per game. The Dodgers have seen just 18 of their 48 road games go over the betting total this season.

 

Molina is a Key Loss to Overcome
The Cardinals will be put to the test after losing star catcher Yadier Molina. He’s projected to be out 8 to 12-weeks after sustaining a torn ligament in his right thumb versus Pittsburgh on July 9th. At the time of his injury Molina was hitting .287 with 7-homers and 30 runs batted in. That doesn’t begin to tell the whole story. Molina’s handling of the Cardinals pitching staff, and his leadership has been priceless, and will undoubtedly be irreplacable.

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Final Analysis
This is a very cheap price to lay with the favorite Dodgers in this spot when all is considered. Especially with the huge advantage I deem them to have in the starting pitching department.

Free Pick: Dodgers -125 over the Cardinals at a top-rated Sportsbook.

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