Take -1 ½ R, +125 Angels vs. Red Sox for Run Line Pick Today

Joe Gavazzi

Wednesday, August 20, 2014 2:44 PM UTC

Wednesday, Aug. 20, 2014 2:44 PM UTC

Having tracked run line results for the previous 5 seasons for all MLB teams, both home and away, I have a major advantage in refining this art form of MLB sports betting. In this report, I will focus on the Angels vs. Red Sox.

LA Angels (Richards) (-1 ½ R, +125) vs. Boston Red Sox (Buchholz) 7:10 ET
10* LA Angels (-1 ½ R, +125)
The dog days of summer were epitomized by yesterday’s results in MLB! Of the 15 games played, 13 were won by the favored team. In typical late August form, 12 of those 15 games were decided by 2 or more runs. It will not be surprising if this pattern continues till September call-ups.  In the meantime, the linemaker will continue to adjust for the dichotomous momentum of the super-surgers and towel-tossers. This is when it is important to know how to use the run line to your advantage with MLB picks

The results were clear last night, as I authored a 5-0 sweep by combined scores of 27-11 with my dime players winning $18,880. 

A prime example of August momentum is represented in this game. LAA has the best record in MLB at 74-50. That fact means there is no team playing greater than .600 ball (only Texas and Colorado are sub .400). The season for the Boston Red Sox has been at the opposite end of the spectrum. After winning the World Series last year, the Red Sox are now 13 games below .500 at 56-69. Their current runs are 9-17 and 0-3.  Angels continue to streak on runs of 37-17 and 6-1. When the pitching matchup coincides with team momentum, we have the makings of a play. 

Richards has a 2.53 ERA for the year with a 1.01 WHIP. In 3 recent starts, Richards has worked 22 2/3 IP, allowing 5 runs on 15 hits. His work on the road has been even better. In 14 road starts, Richards has a 1.96 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in 92 IP. Buchholz continues to struggle with Boston losing his last 5 starts. In fact, in his last 6 starts, Buchholz has allowed 28 runs and 44 hits in 37 IP. Buchholz has pitched his worst from this mound. In 10 starts, he has lasted only 54 IP with a 7.00 ERA and 1.70 WHIP. 

Run line players will note that 27/33 LAA road victories have come by 2 or more runs while 23/35 Boston home losses have come by 2 or more runs.

Free MLB Pick: Bet Angels -1 ½ R, +125 

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