Swinger's Sunday MLB Picks and Predictions

Swinging Johnson

Sunday, July 6, 2014 12:59 PM GMT

Sunday, Jul. 6, 2014 12:59 PM GMT

Swinger is back and looking to bust your bookmaker with this MLB picks on Sunday July 6th, 2014 so get ready to end your week on a winning note.

Swinger's 2014 MLB Record (14-14-1, -1.6 units)  *Picks are rated from 1 to 5 units*
Looking at my record you are no doubt unimpressed. We are dead nuts even after more than halfway through the season and down a whisker in terms of total units. But as you may or may not know, this space has been on fire or, as my Latino friends say, en fuego over the last several selections. My maximum plays (5 units) have been undefeated this season and if it were not for getting our tires stuck in the early season mud of April and parts of May, we would be having a banner year.

But the bottom line is we're downright average after all is said and done but we are looking to move into the black and have a nice bankroll stashed away for football season (the kind with giant men, helmets and goalposts as opposed to skinny dudes, shorts and an enormous net). Let's take a look at what should be a super Sunday for all my SBR readers.


Cubs vs. Nationals
This game is all about regression to the mean. You know, when a pitcher, batter or team plays way above their potential at some point they come crashing back to where they should be and that's exactly what we have here today. Jake Arrieta is this season's Cinderella story and though it's heartwarming to see a career ham-and-egger look like the second coming of Sandy Koufax, it's got to end sometime and today is that day.

Arrieta flirted with a no-no in his last game against the Red Sox and has won a career-best four straight starts registering a blistering 0.94 ERA in the process. He has been a beast but unless 28-year-old journeymen suddenly transform into All-Star caliber pitchers then I will chalk this up to a pitcher suddenly elevating his game which mitigates all the previous information the batters had on him. 

Hitters don't stay stupid for very long and Washington will look to feed off their 13-0 whitewashing of the Cubs yesterday to win the series finale behind Jordan Zimmermann. The Nats have not been kind to Arrieta in the past as he is 0-1 with a 6.84 ERA in five appearances against them. Bryce Harper is 4 for 6 against Arrieta while Danny Espinosa has one dinger and is 3 for 7 lifetime versus the big right-hander.

MLB Picks: Washington -165 for 4 units at Bet365.com

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Rays vs. Tigers
Another Cinderella story in the making as Rick Porcello is lining 'em up and mowing 'em down recently. He's thrown 25 scoreless innings for Detroit and leads the big leagues with 153 K's. But he is opposed by a premium pitcher who has been a top-flight hurler throughout his career unlike Porcello who has recently ascended to the rarified air of the pitching elite.

The Rays have won two of three thus far in this series and have their ace on the hill. The Tigers big gun, Miguel Cabrera, has been rendered impotent by Price in the past recording only one hit in 14 at bats. Conversely, Victor Martinez, Detroit's designated hitter has had a great deal of success as he has gone 8 for 17 lifetime against Price. But Martinez is questionable for today's game after sitting out due to a back injury yesterday.

MLB Picks: Rays -119 for 2 units at Bet365.com

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