Sunday's O/U MLB Picks: Keep Sharp Eye on These Totals Trends

Ross Benjamin

Sunday, August 16, 2015 1:37 PM UTC

Sunday, Aug. 16, 2015 1:37 PM UTC

We’ll be honing in on our two best MLB totals picks for Sunday. Read our informative betting preview article covering totals in games between Boston/Seattle and Detroit/Houston.

Mariners (Nuno) vs. Red Sox (Owens) 1:35 PM ET
Vidal Nuno has made two starts this season, and was only able to last a combined 8 2/3 innings in those outings. The southpaw hurler also allowed 3 home runs during those short stints, and that’s especially not good news considering Boston has hammered six home runs during the first two games of this series. Nuno may have to be a sacrificial lamb today. Mariners starters (Mike Montgomery, Felix Hernandez) each lasted just 2 1/3 innings during the first two games of the series, and as a result, their bullpen is physically spent. Seattle has gone 8-3 over the total during their last eleven games.

Boston has scored a combined 37 runs and pounded out 47 hits in the first two games of this weekend set. While doing so, they became the first team since 1950 to amass 15 runs or more and 21 hits or more in back to back games. The Red Sox have now gone 6-0 over the total in their previous six games. They’ve also gone 23-13 over the total in day games this season.

Although most of the sharp action is opposing me with this selection, I like this game to be a high scoring affair, and that will be one of my MLB picks on Sunday. Pinnacle requires the least amount of juice for this specific wager.

MLB Picks: Play on Seattle and Boston over 9.0 (-113) at Pinnacle


Tigers (Boyd) vs. Astros (Fiers) 2:10 PM ET
Forget the starting pitching matchup for today’s game. Neither one of these teams are hitting right now. Detroit is averaging just 3.1 runs per game, and has a poor team batting average of .215 during their previous seven contests. Houston has gone 6-1 under the total during their previous seven games, averaged 2.3 runs per contest, and has an awful .198 team batting average during that stretch.

1. Detroit starting pitcher Matt Boyd has a 1.74 WHIP in four starts this season.

2. Houston starting pitcher Michael Fiers has a 3.75 ERA during twenty-two starts in 2015.

3. The Astros have a team on base percentage (OBP) of .305 this year.

Any American League home team (Houston) with an OBP of .315 or less, and has a starting pitcher (Fiers) with an ERA of 4.20 or less, facing an American League starting pitcher (Boyd) with a WHIP of 1.70 or more, resulted in the home team going 32-9 (78%) under the total since 1997. Heritage allows us to lay the least amount of juice for this totals selection.

MLB Picks: Play on Detroit and Houston under 8.0 at Heritage

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