Sunday's MLB Pitching Report 7/06

Ross Benjamin

Sunday, July 6, 2014 12:28 PM GMT

Our MLB betting odds authority Ross Benjamin provides his daily starting pitching report, and looks at 4 starting pitchers on the Sunday card. Take the time to read this article, and discover where the starting pitching edges are in each of these 2-games.
 
· The Cubs starter Jake Arrieta has been terrific this season, and even better than that over his last 5-starts. In those last 5-outings the Cubs new ace has posted a microscopic 0.78 ERA, a 0.49 WHIP, struck out 46, and walked only 3. The Cubs went under the total in 4 of those 5-games. Arrieta has seen all 9 of his starts go under the total in the last 3-seasons versus a National League opponent that’s hitting .245 or less on the season. The right-hander has been lights out in 3 starts during the day in 2014, posting a super 0.49 ERA, and a better than 8:1 strikeout to walk ratio.
· The Nationals starter Jordan Zimmerman has displayed superb form over his last 6-starts posting a 1.43 ERA, a 0.82 WHIP, and a 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Washington has seen 5 of those 6-games go under the total. In 4 day game starts this season the Nationals right-hander has an excellent 1.67 ERA, and an almost 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Nationals have gone 43-17 versus the money line the last 3-seasons as a favorite of -110 or more when Zimmerman is their starter.
Advantage: This is a dead even matchup between two red-hot starting pitchers. I expect to see an old fashioned pitcher’s duel in this one, and the score to be on the low side.
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· The Rays starter David Price has seen his last 5-starts all go under the total while posting a stellar 2.29 ERA, a 0.89 WHIP, and a better than 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Rays southpaw has also seen 4 of his 5 career starts versus the Tigers go under the total while posting a very good 2.41 ERA. The Rays are 15-2 versus the money line during the past 3-seasons versus an opponent that draws 3-walks or less per game, and with Price as the starter.
· The Tigers starter Rick Porcello hasn’t allowed any earned run over his last 3-starts. As a matter of fact he’s tossed complete game shutouts in each of his last 2-starts. Porcello has seen all 5 of his career starts versus the Rays go under the total while posting a stellar 2.73 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in those outings. The Tigers have gone a perfect 8-0 versus the money line this season versus an American League opponent that’s hitting .255 or less, and with Porcello as the starter.
Advantage:  We have two starting pitchers in this game that are in absolutely terrific form. The advantage is too close to call, but look for runs to be at a premium tonight.