Sunday's MLB Picks of the Day

Joe Catalano

Sunday, June 29, 2014 1:09 PM UTC

Sunday, Jun. 29, 2014 1:09 PM UTC

Time to finish off the week with a couple of winning bets as July and the All-Star Game are right around the corner. See who we like as our betting picks for today.

Joe C. Record: 106-108 -31.23 Units
Yesterday was disappointing, as I missed with an underdog, faded Zack Greinke, and made a 2 unit play on the Yankees. Masahiro Tanaka pitched a complete game, but Mike Napoli’s “Yankee Stadium home run” defeated the Yankees 2-1 as it came in the 9th inning. It’s time to move on. We can’t let one really bad day affect our method of handicapping.

St. Louis Cardinals (44-38) vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (46-37)Clayton Kershaw Day
When Kershaw (8-2, 2.24) gets the ball, that usually means trouble for the opposing team. This is a good spot for the heavily favored Dodgers as Cardinals starter, Shelby Miller, is coming off of an awful start, and the Dodgers are coming off of an exceptional win over the Cardinals last night, 9-1 as they pounded the “crap” out of a usually reliable Lance Lynn. Now Clayton Kershaw gets his chance to embarrass the redbirds from the Midwest.

How Good is He?
We all know about his no- hitter against the Rockies in which he struckout 15 batters; definitely the best no-hitter in MLB history. Kershaw has pitched 17 consecutive scoreless innings and has allowed just 4 runs in his last 5 starts (37 innings). Shelby Miller, who is having an up and down season for the Cards, has experienced soreness in his back, and is coming off a terrible start against Colorado; Miller is an above average starter. We’ll have to see if his last start can be attributed to the back issues.

The 3 Matts
Matt Adams has certainly kept up his end of the deal this season, but Matt Holliday and Matt Carpenter have had subpar seasons. Last night, Carpenter was the only bright spot for the Cards with a home run. Let’s see if he gains a bit of confidence from the dinger. You can’t fade Kershaw, and the odds are undesirable. The Dodgers are coming into this game with a lot of confidence. I don’t expect their offense to be silent. Lay the massive amount of juice with L.A. for your baseball pick.

Free MLB Pick: Dodgers -190 at 5 Dimes
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Cleveland Indians (39-41) vs. Seattle Mariners (43-38)King Felix in the House!
People are going to say that I’m jumping on the two best starters today after a disastrous day yesterday, and I’m not denying it; I am.

Cleveland is coming off of a huge victory over Seattle last night 5-0 as the Mariners were held to just 1 hit. That said, this is baseball and things change from day to day. Felix Hernandez is the best pitcher in the American League in the last decade and he’s fairly unstoppable. Can he stop a tough and unpredictable Cleveland offense?

A Career Killer
I’ve called him out before, and I want to call him out again. Robinson Cano made a huge mistake when he left the Yankees. Cano had a short porch in right field in Yankee Stadium, and could’ve been considered one of the best 2nd basemen that this game has ever seen, and instead he took the money, and ran.
The repercussions are huge. Although he’s hitting well over .300, he can’t home runs at home and Seattle made a huge mistake in signing him. On the season, Cano is batting .316 with 4 HR and 43 RBI. He hasn’t been a very clutch hitter for a team with a weak offense, and I’ve never seen a player make such a poor decision before when he had things so good in the Bronx. Instead, Kyle Seager (12 HR, 55 RBI,.274) who isn’t half the player that Cano is but has a bit more power, is the go to guy when Seattle needs the big, game-changing hit. Today, Seager can relax a bit as Felix Hernandez can stop an entire team in its tracks, and that’s what I expect him to do.

Free MLB Pick: Seattle -185 at 5 Dimes
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