2014 MLB Record (2-2-1, -2.10 units) *Each wager is graded from 1 to 5 units*
The last time I did a write up for SBR was Thursday April 3rd where I excoriated Cubs starter Jason Hammel in order to make my case for laying the heavy lumber on the Pittsburgh Pirates and making it a three unit play in the process. Well Jason Hammel must read SBR Picks because he certainly looked like he had an agenda when he led the perennially putrid Cubs past the Pittsburgh Pirates who perniciously pilfered our pesos and plundered our bankroll.
After the dust had settled we went from being in the black to back in the red, albeit by only a few units, and left us dead even record wise on the young season. But today we will get back on the winning track as I am refreshed and reinvigorated from my sojourn into Sin City. Nothing gets the iron in the blood like a fresh cut of Wagu beef from Gordon Ramsay's Steak at the Paris Hotel in lovely Las Vegas. Ready to make some dough in your MLB picks? Let's go!
Astros (5-7, +0.50 units) vs. Rangers (5-6,
The Astros have been turning some heads in the early going. Granted they are a sub .500 team but their five victories in 12 outings is still outpacing their projected season win total of 62 ½ in most offshore books. Today the 'Stros have Brett Oberholtzer going after a raucous 6-5 ten- inning victory last night in Arlington, snapping the Rangers 12-game winning streak over Houston. Oberholtzer is 0-2 with a 4.95 ERA and hasn't registered a win since September 1st of last year. But Oberholtzer has been more the victim of run support than poor pitching performances and he won't have to contend with Adrian Beltre, the Rangers' hard hitting third baseman, who is nursing a strained quad muscle.
That being said, the Rangers have second year southpaw Martin Perez toeing the slab (that phrase always conjures grotesque images of a guy with a foot fetish roaming a morgue...but I digress) who had nothing but success in his rookie campaign against Houston where he won both his starts and surrendered only four runs and tallied 16 K's in 16 innings of work. This is shaping up to be a game where Texas gets back on track against Houston in the finale of a three-game set at Arlington. And let's not forget that Texas is 9-0 in Perez's last nine starts against teams with a losing record while the Astros are hitting an anemic .189 as a team, ranked last in the majors. We're backing the Rangers in our MLB picks today on both the money and run lines.
MLB Pick: Rangers - 165 for 2 units at Bet365.com
MLB Pick: Rangers -1 ½ (+115) for 4 units at Bet365.com.
(7-5, +1.7 units) vs. Reds (3-8, -5.0 units)
In a nutshell the Reds are favored because they are clearly underachieving this season and the Rays have to rely on a long reliever in Cesar Ramos, replacing Matt Moore in the rotation, who is making only his fourth career start. I say, big freakin' deal. Tampa Bay is now leading the bruising AL East because of stellar pitching while the Reds are in the cellar of the NL Central because their offense is sputtering along with a .219 team average.
Why not take advantage of a matchup where you have the better team getting the juice? And don't be concerned with Cesar Ramos as a starter. He's been very effective as a long reliever and will relish the opportunity to get the start here against a weak hitting Reds team.
MLB Pick: Tampa Bay Rays +130 for 4 units at Bet365.com