Sunday's MLB Picks with All the Earmarks of Low-Scoring Games

Ross Benjamin

Sunday, July 5, 2015 2:44 PM UTC

Sunday, Jul. 5, 2015 2:44 PM UTC

We have been studying the baseball betting trends for years now and as part of our daily mission to beat the odds, we have prepared our three favorite MLB picks for Sunday, July 5th.

Mets (Matz) vs. Dodgers (Bolsinger) 4:10 PM ET
Southpaw Steven Matz will make his second career big league start at Dodger Stadium today. His debut came at home last Sunday versus Cincinnati and he was very impressive. In that outing, Matz allowed 2 earned runs on 5 hits while walking 3 in 7 2/3 innings during a 7-2 Mets win. The Mets scored more than two runs for the first time in five games during Saturday’s 4-3 loss. They’ve scored 2 runs or less in ten of their last twelve, and thirteen of their previous sixteen games. The Mets average a paltry 2.8 runs per game, and have an awful team batting average of .227 on the road in 2015.

Mike Bolsinger has posted a stellar 2.76 ERA in eleven starts this season. He’s been even better at home going 4-1 in his team starts with a 2.25 ERA and 0.91 WHIP. The Dodgers have gone 10-5 under the total in 2015 when facing a southpaw starting pitcher, and averaged just 3.3 runs per game scored. They’re also averaging only 3.6 runs per game, and have a poor .235 team batting average over their last seven games.

This has all the earmarks of a low scoring game. The Mets are 14-4 under the total in their previous eighteen games, and the Dodgers are 8-4 under in the last twelve. Both of these bullpen staffs have been solid all season long. supplies the best price pertaining to making a wager on going under the total.

MLB Picks: Play on the Mets and Dodgers under 7.0 (+100) 


Rockies (Jorge De La Rosa) vs. Diamondbacks (Rubby De La Rosa) 4:10 PM ET
The Rockies Jorge De La Rosa has been very good in four road starts this year, posting a superb 1.37 ERA and 0.99 WHIP. He’s also gone 4-1 under the total in his last five starts overall with a stellar 2.90 ERA. In his one start (6/25) versus Arizona this year he allowed 1 earned run on 4 hits while walking three in 5.0 innings pitched.

Rubby De La Rosa has been outstanding over his last four starts, posting a superb 1.30 ERA during that time. He was dominant in his only start versus Colorado this season and that came at hitter friendly Coors Field. He allowed just 1 earned run on 5 hits while walking 1 in 7.0 innings.

Fieldin Culberth will be the home plate umpire today. Culberth has gone 41-29 under the total since 2013 when calling balls and strikes, and that includes 8-4 this year. Those twelve games in 2015 averaged just a combined 6.8 runs scored per outing. These teams have played over the total in seven of ten meetings this season. I’m looking for that trend to change on Sunday, and one of my MLB picks will be indicative of that prediction.  My call was placed to 5Dimes for this wager due to their favorable price.

MLB Picks: Play on Colorado and Arizona under 8.5 (+100) at 5Dimes.

comment here