Subway Series Shifts To The Bronx - Pick Mets As They Are Vying For Postseason While Yankees Are Making Vacation Plans

Swinging Johnson

Wednesday, August 3, 2016 1:44 PM UTC

Wednesday, Aug. 3, 2016 1:44 PM UTC

The Big Apple rivals split the first two games of this four-game Subway Series at Citi Field and now the venue shifts to Yankee Stadium. Let's review the MLB odds and get on the right side of this one.

N.Y. Mets vs N.Y. Yankees
Yesterday morning I got an excellent line on the Yankees as the MLB odds makers at Pinnacle were dealing them at +120 before most of you had enjoyed your first cup of coffee. I watched the line tumble throughout the day and was grinning to myself about how much value I now had in the Bronx Bombers who were set to take on the Mets in the second of a four-game home-and-home series.

Well, as it turns out I could have gotten +1200 and it wouldn't have made a whit of difference in my MLB picks because as the old saying goes, there is no value in losing. Yes, another day, another loss and the beat goes on for me and my ignominious second half swoon. The Yankees bowed 7-1 and now we are tackling this series for a third consecutive day. Let's give it another go, shall we?


Mets Getting Offensive
The New York Mets had to do something to kick start their offense. So they went out and acquired Cincinnati slugger Jay Bruce to help boost a lineup that is ranked 28th in run production, 29th in team batting average, 23rd in on base percentage and 17th in slugging percentage. Those numbers do not bode well for a team looking to make a run into the postseason.

Last night, with the addition of Bruce batting third in the lineup, the Mets torched the Yankees by the score of 7-1 despite their new arrival going 0-for-4, including a pair of strikeouts. Tonight, Bruce will be back in the lineup but more importantly, so too will Yoenis Cespedes who has been sidelined with a quadriceps injury. Cespedes leads the team in virtually every major offensive category and will be used as a DH in the American League park tonight.


Betting Analysis
Second-year man Steven Matz (8-7, 3.35 ERA, 1.27 WHIP) takes the hill for the visiting Mets and he will be opposed by the Yankees' Chad Green (1-2, 7.54 ERA, 1.33 WHIP). Matz has picked up where he left off in his rookie season and that has been good news for the Mets. The young southpaw is 1-0 when starting against the Yankees with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.333.

Meanwhile, the Yankees continue to disassemble their pitching staff as starter Ivan Nova was sent packing, and so too was veteran slugger Carlos Beltran. The Yankees are waving the white flag on this season and intent on stocking up their farm system for years to come.

Due to Nova's exit, the Yankees will give reliever and spot starter Chad Green the go-ahead to take on the Mets tonight. Green will be making just his fourth start of the season and in his last start almost a month ago, he was lit up in Cleveland when the Indians blasted him for seven runs (including four home runs) in just four-plus innings of work.

There's no decision to be made here. The Mets are vying for a date in the postseason while the Yankees are already making vacation plans. Steven Matz could be the next big thing in New York while Chad Green is merely a stopgap to get through the season, as his 14 runs in 14.1 innings as a starter suggests. The Mets have won when Matz takes the hill if you consider that the club is 4-0 in Matz's last four starts in Game 3 of a series and 9-3 in his last 12 road starts. The choice is clear - go Mets!


Free MLB Pick: Mets 
Swinger’s MLB Record: 58-32, +25.05 units

*Editors note: at press time odds were not posted yet

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Check Out Our Coverage For Game 1 & Game 2 Of Subway Series

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