Strasburg-Volgelsong Duel Signals Low Scoring Affair in Giants/Nationals

Charles Stark

Thursday, August 13, 2015 12:19 PM GMT

Thursday, Aug. 13, 2015 12:19 PM GMT

With Washington's Strasburg seemingly back into form and a really tough home pitcher in Ryan Vogelsong taking the mound for the Giants I like under the total when these two teams matchup in San Francisco.

Odds
MLB odds makers came out with a total of 7 for this matchup which is a telling number in my opinion coming from them. There is a little bit higher juice on taking the under the total for this game and right now those are the best odds, -115 at Bet online and Sports Betting sports book. I simply don't anticipate a high-scoring affair in what should be a tight matchup.

 

Washington Nationals
Stephen Strasburg comes into this game with a 4.76 ERA, 1.38 whip, 75 strikeouts, and a 6-5 record. He looked fantastic coming off of injury last week and should continue to pitch well. When he is healthy he is one of the best right-handed pitchers in baseball bar none with a career ERA of 3.19 and a whip of 1.12. He also has a ridiculous 821 strikeouts in just 717 innings pitched. All seems well with him in his start against the Rockies so I see no reason not to back him against the Giants team that has struggled in recent games on the offensive end.

Washington ranks 13th in runs scored per game at 4.21, 13th in OPS at .712, and 18th in batting average hitting .250 as a team. They are coming off a series against the Dodgers in which they had a little success at the plate but struggled yesterday. Continuing on this road trip they could continue having a tough time today against a good home pitcher in Vogelsong.

Click here to view Charles' pick for Yankees/Indians

San Francisco Giants
Ryan Volgelsong takes the mound for the Giants with a 4.26 ERA, 1.39 whip, 81 strikeouts, and a 7-8 record. He has been a far cry from the steady starter he was a couple years ago but he is still tough at home with an ERA of 3.00 and batters hitting only .214 against him this season. Most likely when Leake gets back he will go back into the bullpen so look for him to have a steady, focused performance. He is just a different monster at home and the most runs he is given up in a home start this season is just four runs in which he did two times, look for him to keep both the run and hit totals down today against the well-traveled Nationals.

San Francisco comes in ranked ninth in the major leagues in runs scored per game at 4.36, sixth in OPS at .738, and second in team batting average hitting .271. At home those averages though drop quite a bit and their average run total per game goes from 4.88 on the road to just 3.80 at home. I find those numbers kind of surprising considering the well-rounded offense they have. As well, recently they just have not been scoring a lot of runs and have been shut out two of their last five games.

This sets up to be a real tight low-scoring affair between a pitcher that seems to have his swagger back in Strasburg versus a very good home pitcher in Vogelsong. There is a reason why this total is so low and I'm going to back that low number with the under the total. I'm anticipating around 3-1 type of final.

MLB Pick: Under at at BetOnline

comment here