Starting Pitchers Duel Makes 'Under' Our MLB Pick for Saturday's Dodgers vs. Cardinals

Steven Suarez

Saturday, May 30, 2015 1:00 PM GMT

Saturday, May. 30, 2015 1:00 PM GMT

John Lackey shut down the Dodgers in the first game of the series yesterday, and now the undefeated Michael Wacha will take the bump for St. Louis. Let's break down the MLB odds for this evening's game.

Odds Overview
After a shutout win yesterday, the Cardinals are once again priced out as the MLB odds-on favorites, this time listed at right around -140 to get the victory.

If you think the value lies with the Dodgers on this occasion, you can find them at a nice price in the +125 to +130 range. The total has been set at 7.5 runs.

 

St. Louis Cardinals (Wacha)
It's not going to be easy for Michael Wacha to top John Lackey's performance yesterday. The veteran right-hander fired seven scoreless innings and racked up nine strikeouts in the win, with Jhonny Peralta and Randall Grichuk coming through with the timely hits. It was all about Lackey in this one though, as he was at his very best in leading the Cardinals to their fifth straight win.

Wacha, however, has proven that he may just be able to match that showing. He's been terrific for the Cardinals this season, going 7-0 with a 1.87 ERA and 1.04 WHIP. Still only 23-year-olds, the future is bright for Wacha, who has allowed two or fewer earned runs in all but one of his starts this season. He's not going to overpower hitters and rack up the strikeouts, but he's shown he knows how to get outs in an efficient manner.

The Cardinals have to be thrilled with Wacha's transition to the major league level, though they'll be hoping he can keep it going tonight against one of the top offenses in the MLB. Yes, the Dodgers were shut down yesterday, but they're still as potent as over at the plate overall.

Must Read: Looks like the Dodgers/Cardinals bats will come alive tonight!

Los Angeles Dodgers (Frias)
The Dodgers aren't used to getting tamed like they did yesterday, so you better believe they'll be ready to get back on track tonight. Unfortunately for them, they face a tough test against the rock-solid Wacha, who has been mighty hard to unsettle so far in the 2015 season.

For Los Angeles, it'll be Carlos Frias taking the bump. The 25-year-old righty was an utter disaster in his last outing, getting tagged for 10 hits and 10 earned runs over four innings in a 11-3 loss to the Padres. Because of that implosion, Frias' ERA rose from 2.55 all the way up to 5.34 - a lot of people were expecting regression from Frias, but the way in which it happened was sudden and swift. Will the general public shy away from backing Frias now that his overall numbers leave a lot to be desired?

Perhaps. Frias, though, had been very good in his first four starts of the season, surrendering three or fewer runs in each of those outings. We'll have to see how his confidence holds up after he was tossed around so badly by San Diego at home.

 

MLB Pick
This is a tricky call, as we've got two of the best teams in baseball going at it. 

You'd think we'd be all over the Cardinals considering Wacha's overall numbers look a lot better than Frias', but that's mainly because of the latter's blowup in his latest start. Other than that meltdown, Frias has actually been rather solid for Los Angeles. We think there's a good chance he'll be able to bounce back here, even in the face of another difficult assignment.

So, what's the final call with our MLB picks? We are going to back the two starting pitchers once more and will therefore take the UNDER. It may not be another 3-0 game, but we do see Wacha and Frias doing just enough to keep the total low enough for a cash.

MLB Pick: UNDER 7.5 at BetOnline

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