Staked Starting Rotation Explains Mets Competitive MLB Odds

Joe Catalano

Saturday, February 20, 2016 5:53 PM UTC

Saturday, Feb. 20, 2016 5:53 PM UTC

If you saw last season's World Series, a great pitching staff is the most important component to any team in the MLB to possess in order to win. Today, we're going to take a look at the New York Mets, who made it to the World Series, and see if a return trip is in the works. Let's take an in-depth look at the deep New York Mets starting pitching rotation.

While we're solely focusing on pitching, sometimes a team such as the Kansas City Royals, who hadn't won a World Series in 30 years, were on a mission and couldn't be stopped despite the talent on the Mets roster. 9 times out of 10, the team with the better pitching wins and we expect the Mets to be competing for another chance to win a World Series as they're healthy and all of the key components are in place.


Tommy John Surgery
It's a major coincidence that almost every starter in the Mets rotation has had Tommy John Surgery. This is partially why the Mets are afraid to trade away any pitching talent for hitting that they may be lacking. 

Currently, Zach Wheeler is expected to return after having this surgery last March. This is a surgery that takes over a year to heel. To secure the rotation, the Mets have secured 42 year old veteran, Bartolo Colon, to a one year contract. Surprisingly, Colon (14-13, 4.16) has been one of the most consistent pitchers on the roster and has finally learned how to hit the baseball when called upon.

The Mets have so deep a rotation that they possess 5 pitchers that could easily be a number 2 starter for a different team. Pitching great and hall of famer, Greg Maddux, noted that the Mets pitching staff is more talented than the 1990's Atlanta Braves staff that possessed 3 hall of famers. That's high praise.


Matt Harvey or Jacob deGrom?
At this point, we don't know who is the true ace of this staff. The consensus is that Matt Harvey (13-8, 2.71) is the starter with the most talent and one of the best pitchers in baseball, but he wasn't the same pitcher previous to the Tommy John Surgery. This could be due to fear of a getting re-injured. Simply stated, this wasn't the imposing Matt Harvey that we saw from the past. 

Look for Harvey to be the difference-maker on this staff as he has the talent to be the best pitcher in baseball and has already proven it in the past. Harvey shouldn't be on an innings count and we can expect him to possibly improve upon his one strikeout per inning ratio along with allowing opposing hitters to just a .222 batting average.


The Anchor
Until proven otherwise, Jacob deGrom (14-8, 2.54) is the most consistent pitcher on the staff. With deGrom, the Mets receive a consistent effort everytime that he takes to the rubber. 

DeGrom had over 200 strikeouts for the season, a stellar post-season, and is one of those pitchers that will go deep into ball games and just about provide a quality start every time that he pitches. It will be interesting to see who is the ace and who is the number 2 guy, but it really doesn't matter. With Matt Harvey and Jacob deGrom as the top two pitchers in the Mets rotation, this team appears to be unstoppable if they get any type of hitting.


The Heat
The number 3 man in the rotation in Noah Syndergaard is the guy that can throw in excess of 100 miles per hour. Syndergaard threw for 166 strikeouts in 150 innings. This is a pitcher that hasn't reached his potential. Although the sky is the limit for the kid from Texas, he can be rattled and has had games where the opposing team has been able to “dink and dunk”on him, but I don't think that this is anything to be concerned about. Syndergaard is battle-tested and a real competitor. If the Mets get a better season from him than they did last season, this team appears unbeatable.

I didn't even add really include Steven Matz (4-0, 2.27) who hasn't had a full season to pitch. This team is stacked as the Mets are a +1000 MLB odds to win the World Series. In my opinion, that's a spectacular price to grab with your MLB picks before the season starts.

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