Sports B.I.T: Back The Mother Of All Underdogs In Monday's Play Of The Day

Teddy Covers

Monday, April 11, 2016 7:00 PM GMT

Monday's SportsBIT Has Teddy and Pauly talk about the MLB Odds available at top sportsbooks, so join us to pad your account balance with their profitable Play of the Day.

I’m not sure if it sounds so glamorous – quit your job, move to Vegas, bet sports every day – but it certainly sounds like a fun and interesting way to make a living for all the folks who don’t live in Sin City.  But if you’re there, in the grind of the sportsbetting universe, it’s not very glamorous at all.  In fact, it’s just hard work.

Teddy doesn’t get days off; hasn’t had one yet in 2016.  He’s got a wife and a kid.  His ‘Vegas lifestyle’ isn’t about clubbing, partying and wild gambling stories.  No, it’s about getting to sleep early, eating right, staying balanced. doing research online, and sitting at his desk for hours at a time crunching numbers – the antithesis of a party weekend in Vegas.

So when Hollywood gave Teddy a call about appearing on a show about gambling topics for the History Channel, he was willing to change up his schedule and fly to Hollywood for the day – something new, something different, something interesting.  Watch Teddy’s entire story – hanging out on set with Dr Drew, the sinking feeling that his studio might be a regular on the porno circuit and his disastrous flight home that sent his karma down the drain for the next 24 hours – on today’s SportsBIT

But Teddy’s bizarre tale is only one reason to watch today’s show.  Another is the Play of the Day feature, that closes out every show.  Sometimes, Teddy and Pauly give out a future book recommendation.  Sometimes it’s a total. Or a side.  Today, that Play of the Day is an Underdog, and it’s not just any dog – it’s the mother of all anti—advanced metric pitchers, Kansas City’s Chris Young.

Young is a veteran hurler – he’s been in the majors since the 2004 season – and a bright guy, a Princeton graduate.  He’s also extraordinarily tall at 6-10 with a tendency to throw high strikes, resulting in awkward angles for many opposing batters as they try to take him deep. 

This bright, experienced veteran now has a CAREER xFIP of more than a full run higher than his career ERA.  Two years ago, it was more than a run and a half higher. Last year it was close to a run and a half differential between xFIP and ERA.  Over one season, this would be an anomaly.  Over a decade, it’s a clear pattern.  Young’s fairly unique skill set allows him to leave high fastballs over the plate and still get fly ball outs.  The advanced metric numbers don’t see the method behind the stats, which leaves Young as a perennially undervalued commodity.  At +130 on MLB Odds in Houston this evening, Young and the Royals are a clear choice for Teddy and Pauly's MLB Pick on Monday’s SportsBIT.

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MLB Pick:  Royals +126
Best Line Offered: at Heritage