So Many Reasons to Back Cardinals +122 with MLB Picks vs. Cubs

Ross Benjamin

Monday, July 6, 2015 12:07 PM UTC

Monday, Jul. 6, 2015 12:07 PM UTC

As we analyze Monday's MLB odds in search of dangerous underdogs, we notice that the St. Louis Cardinals are priced at +122 against the Cubs, despite leading their 2015 series 7-2.

Cards and Cubs begin Three Game Series at Wrigley
The Cubs will entertain their NL Central rival and first place St. Louis Cardinals on Monday at 8:05 PM ET. Keep in mind before placing your MLB Picks that St. Louis has won 7 of 9 from the Cubs in 2015, and is an outstanding 22-8 this season versus NL Central opponents. Both teams enter this series opener on modest two game win streaks.


Starting Pitchers
John Lackey gets the starting assignment on the mound tonight for St. Louis. Lackey has displayed stellar form over his previous four starts with a 2.17 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. The veteran right-hander is 2-0 in his team starts versus Chicago this year with a sparkling 1.84 ERA.

The Cubs prized offseason free agent acquisition Jon Lester will be on the hill tonight. Lester has been in good form over his last four starts with a 2.22 ERA and 1.03 WHIP. In two starts versus St. Louis this year he’s posted a shaky 1.68 WHIP.


Superior Pitching and Struggling Offenses
The Cardinals have scored 3 runs or less in each of their previous six games. St. Louis has also allowed 2 runs or less in the last three, and nine of their previous eleven games. This is nothing new for the Cardinals since they’re allowing just 2.9 runs per game this season.

The Cubs have scored 2 runs or less in ten of their last twelve games. They’ve also allowed 2 runs or less in each of their previous five games. The Cubs games at Wrigley Field this season have averaged only a combined 6.5 runs scored per game.

Both of these bullpens have performed extremely well in 2015. The Cardinals relievers have a collective ERA of 2.22 and the Cubs are at 2.90. Both bullpens have combined to allow only 34 home runs in 479.0 innings.


Money Line Betting System
The Cardinals starting pitcher John Lackey has allowed 2 earned runs or less in each of his previous four starts. St. Louis enters today averaging 4.0 runs per game this year. The Cubs starter John Lester has compiled a 3.74 ERA in 2015. All this data produces a highly profitable money line betting system which has more than passed the test of time. I’ll be siding with the road underdog today as a result for one of my MLB picks on Monday, and 5Dimes provides the best price at the time of this writing.

Any National League road team that’s +125 to -125 on the money line baseball betting lines, averaging 4.1 or less runs scored per game, and their pitcher allowed 2 earned runs or less in his previous start, versus a National League opponent with a starting pitcher possessing an ERA of 3.70 to 4.20, resulted in the road team going 50-21 (70.4%) since 1997.

MLB Picks: Play the Cardinals +122 on the money line at 5Dimes

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