Sharps Like Giants vs. Diamondbacks 'Over' 8.5

Swinging Johnson

Tuesday, April 1, 2014 2:21 PM GMT

The Giants outslugged Arizona yesterday to take the first of a four-game set but can the winless D-backs offer any value in our MLB odds to notch a win at Chase Field tonight?

Swinger’s 2014 MLB Record (1-1, +0.85 units) *Each wager is graded from 1 to 5 units*
Yesterday we had a sneaking suspicion that the Rays would rough up Toronto knuckleballer R.A. Dickey and sure enough it was an easy winner as we cashed a 2 unit play on David Price and the Rays.  Though it was tough to stomach laying -160 in MLB odds we certainly can’t argue with the results and the boys from Tampa never gave us cause for pause as they rolled to a 9-2 victory.  Trust me, we won’t make a habit of laying the heavy lumber on a regular basis but when opportunity knocks you have to answer the door.  Let’s see who’s knocking today.

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San Francisco Giants (1-0, +1.10 units)
The Giants started their 2014 campaign off in thrilling fashion as they engineered a 9-8 come-from-behind victory after being down 7-3 in the seventh inning.  But that’s yesterday’s news and tonight they hand the ball to the enigmatic Matt Cain.  The big veteran right hander posted his worst ERA (4.00) last season since 2006 and found himself on the disabled list for the first time in his career.  However, when he returned his numbers were strikingly better, registering a 2.71 ERA over his final 12 starts after returning from the DL. 

Giants fans were looking for Cain to return completely to form this spring but the results were far from encouraging.  Cain finished the exhibition slate with a 7.47 ERA and got tuned up last Wednesday when Colorado whacked him around for six runs and nine hits over just five innings of work.  While spring training is just a dry run until the games start for real, his latest performance cannot be discounted.

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Arizona Diamondbacks (0-3, -3.20 units)
Not only did the Diamondbacks have to travel halfway around the world to start their season early when they dropped two games to the Dodgers Down Under, they also blew a four run lead in the seventh and spoiled their home opener at Chase Field.  Tonight they hope to turn things around when Wade Miley takes the bump for already the second time this season.  He was touched for three runs in five innings of work in Arizona’s 3-1 opening day loss to Los Angeles.

 

Miley made a start in the Cactus League because of the long layoff between his first start of the season back on March 22nd and tonight.  The team wanted him to keep throwing and maintain continuity in the rotation but the results again were less than stellar when he surrendered three runs to Cleveland in only 4 2/3 innings of work last Thursday.  Miley is 0-3 with a 3.77 ERA in in five career starts versus the Giants.

[gameodds]3/260712/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Free MLB Pick:
Seriously, how do you look at either side and get a good feeling?  The squares will predicate their MLB picks on reputation which means Big Matty Cain will be getting plenty of play.  They may recall that he had a decent second half of last season but will have no idea he’s been knocked around this spring.  That’s why we here at SBR do the homework for you. 

Similarly, Wade Miley hasn’t exactly set the world on fire either.  He’s been batted around pretty good this spring and looked like a back-of-the-rotation kind of guy against the Dodgers.  But on the flipside, both offenses looked potent yesterday and with the way these two guys are pitching, they may very well be cannon fodder for yet another explosive evening in the desert.

MLB Picks: Play Over 8 ½ (-105) for 2 units at Bet365.com in your MLB picks.