Sharp MLB Bettors Know Kuroda Has Advantage Over Buehrle

Jeff Grant

Friday, July 25, 2014 12:19 PM GMT

Friday, Jul. 25, 2014 12:19 PM GMT

Hiroki Kuroda has been brilliant when pitching in the Bronx against the Toronto Blue Jays, which provides the New York Yankees a major edge in Friday night’s series opener.

           

Trending upward
Toronto has won three games in a row by scoring 21 total runs in that span, including a 8-0 victory over the Boston Red Sox as -108 home favorites Thursday, while the 'over' is on a 4-0-1 run.

The Blue Jays are going to have a hard time continuing their recent strong play in this matchup, considering they’ve dropped their last 16 games at this ballpark—a trend that must be respected when looking over the MLB betting odds page.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the franchise is 31-37 as road underdogs of +100 to +125, with the 'over' going 35-31-2 in that situation.

 

Starting over in the Big Apple
New York has worked its way back to a .500 record (24-24) at home, which was helped out by winning three of four against the Texas Rangers at Yankee Stadium, including a 4-2 victory as -180 favorites yesterday.

The Yankees have surprised many MLB handicappers with their starting rotation compiling a 2.12 ERA over the last 12 games, considering Masahiro Tanaka and CC Sabathia have both been on the disabled list over that span.

It’s important to point out that the club is 7-6 as favorites of -125 to -150 at this venue, with the 'under' going 10-3 in those 13 opportunities.

 

Buehrle
Blue Jays starting pitcher Mark Buehrle (10-6, 2.86 ERA) hasn’t earned a decision in watching his team win his last two efforts, as he’s allowed seven runs and 17 hits over 11 combined frames over that span.

The left-hander is 5-3 with a 2.44 ERA in 10 road appearances—issuing 12 walks and striking out 42 batters in 66.1 innings.

In 18 career starts versus the Yankees, Toronto's pitcher Buehrle has compiled a 1-11 record and 5.81 ERA, with his teams losing all seven of his efforts at this ballpark.

 

Kuroda
Yankees starting pitcher Hiroki Kuroda (6-6, 3.88 ERA) has produced a quality effort in five of his last six outings, but he didn’t earn a decision in a 3-2 home victory over the Cincinnati Reds five days ago.

The right-hander is 3-3 with a 3.88 ERA in 10 home starts—serving up nine home runs in 62.2 combined innings.

Kuroda has registered a perfect 3-0 record and 1.29 ERA in three lifetime efforts versus the Blue Jays in the Bronx.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Yankees as one of their MLB picks, as they’ve gone 14-6 in Kuroda’s last 20 starts as a home favorite.

Free MLB Pick:  New York Yankees

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