Shaky Pitching Matchup Prompts High Scoring in White Sox/Royals Tonight

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, August 8, 2015 11:39 AM GMT

Our very own MLB handicapping professional breaks down Saturday’s game between the White Sox and Royals in this insightful betting preview article.

AL Central Battle in Kansas City on Saturday
A couple of AL Central rivals meet on Saturday when Kansas City hosts the White Sox at 7:10 PM ET. This will be the second of a three game weekend series, and Kansas City was a 3-2 winner last night. The Royals are 4-0 at home and 8-3 overall versus Chicago in 2015.

 

Starting Pitchers
I was a bit miffed about all the so called interest in White Sox starter Jeff Samardzija at the trade deadline. Obviously my doubts turned out to be correct since the right-hander still remains with Chicago. He’ll be on the mound tonight and has been shaky in his previous two starts. During those outings versus the Yankees and Red Sox, he allowed 13 earned runs on 15 hits in 12 2/3 innings pitched. Samardzija has gone 9-2-1 over the total in his road team starts this year while posting a lofty 4.81 ERA. The White Sox hurler has faced Kansas City twice in 2015 and had a large 6.23 ERA during those outings.

Jeremy Guthrie will get the nod today for Kansas City. The Royals veteran right-hander has had a less than impressive season thus far, posting a sizable 5.66 ERA and 1.57 WHIP during twenty starts. Guthrie has also displayed bad form during his previous three starts, compiling a 7.27 ERA and 1.96 WHIP during that stretch. On an even more alarming note, Guthrie has allowed 38 hits in only 23 1/3 innings during his last four starts.  He’s made one appearance versus the White Sox in 2015, allowing 3 earned runs on 9 hits while walking 1 in just 5.0 innings.

 

Final Analysis
By virtue of of their 3-2 loss yesterday at Kansas City, Chicago saw a streak of ten consecutive games going over the total come to an end. The White Sox have averaged a robust 5.6 runs per game during that stretch. Neither one of these starting pitchers have given MLB bettors confidence this season or in recent starts. The scheduled home plate umpire for today’s game is Laz Diaz, and Diaz has seen games in which he was behind the dish go  49-29 (62.8%) over the total since 2013.

I like this to play on the high side of the total for one of my MLB picks today. Many of the major sportsbooks have bumped this total up from the opening number of 8.0 to 8.5. However, 5Dimes hasn’t do so as of yet, and they’ll be taking my immediate action.

MLB Pick:  White Sox and Royals over 8.0 (-115) at 5Dimes.