Shaky Pitchers Inspire MLB Picks 'Over' Wednesday's Totals

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, August 26, 2015 4:06 PM UTC

Wednesday, Aug. 26, 2015 4:06 PM UTC

Our MLB handicapper walks us through his top total plays for Wednesday.  Be sure to check them out before making your MLB picks tonight. 

Red Sox (Porcello) vs. White Sox (Sale) 8:10 PM ET
Rick Porcello has been a major disappointment for Boston this season. Porcello has a sizable 5.81 ERA in twenty starts. He’s been even worse in ten starts on the road with a poor 6.83 ERA and 1.59 WHIP. The former Tigers hurler has made one start versus the White Sox in 2015, and it was a horrible performance, allowing 5 earned runs on 10 hits in just 2.0 innings pitched. Boston enters today having gone 14-1-1 over the total in their previous sixteen games.

If you’re an avid baseball fan, then you certainly know the quality of pitcher that Chris Sale has become. However, he’s been a bit vulnerable over his previous five starts, evidenced by a lofty 5.40 ERA in those outings. The star southpaw hurler made one start against Boston in 2015, and struggled mightily, allowing 7 earned runs on 12 hits in only 5.0 innings of work. The White Sox have gone over the total in each of their last six games, and are also 15-6 over the total in August.

These teams have seen each of their six meetings this season go over the total, and there’s been a combined average of 11.7 runs scored per game. I like this contest to be a high scoring affair for one of our MLB picks on Wednesday.

MLB Pick: Red Sox and White Sox over 7.0 (+107) at 5Dimes.


Cubs (Hendricks) vs. Giants (Peavy) 10:15 PM ET
Kyle Hendricks has displayed terrible form over his previous three starts, compiling a large 7.25 ERA and 1.90 WHIP in those outings. The Cubs have been red-hot offensively during their previous seven outings, evidenced by their mammoth .946 OPS, and an average of 6.9 runs per game scored during that stretch. As a matter of fact, they’ve gone 14-5 over the total during their last nineteen games.

Jake Peavy seemed to be getting into a nice groove, and then subsequently stumbled in his last two starts. Peavy has posted an unimpressive to say the least 6.94 ERA and 1.71 WHIP in those outings. The Giants are 21-9 over the total this season when facing a National League starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.25 or less. They’ve also gone 20-10 over the total in 2015 versus a National League opponent with a team batting average of .245 or less. Kyle Hendricks has a 1.22 WHIP in 24 starts, and the Cubs have a team batting average of .242 this season.

I like this game to produce a plethora of runs scored. The major sportsbooks are divided on this total with some at 7.0 and others at 7.5. It’s always a wise idea to shop your line.

MLB Pick: Cubs and Giants over 7.0 (-125) at Bovada.

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