Shade The Under When Indians Visit Athletics To Maximize Monday's Pay Out

Andrew Triggs

Monday, August 22, 2016 2:42 PM GMT

This time of year in MLB can be really interesting when we have teams heading for the playoffs taking on teams getting ready for next year. Today, Indians take on the Athletics in such a matchup and we are going to take a look at the total line as our MLB pick.

Cleveland Indians vs Oakland Athletics
MLB odds have set the total for Cleveland and Oakland at 8 across the board with a bit of higher juice on the under. On closer look, this makes sense to me and for my MLB pick, I'm going to back under the total of eight. Looking at the matchups I just can't see this game producing a ton of runs.

 

Cleveland Indians
Carlos Carrasco takes the mound for Cleveland with a 3.34 ERA and 1.10 whip with the Indians losing four out of the last five times he has taken the mound. Carrasco was having lights out season until the hot hitting Minnesota Twins got to him in early August and scored eight earned runs in just three innings which really hurt his overall numbers. Since then in his last three games, he has been a bit better allowing 10 earned runs in his last three starts in just over 20 innings, not good but not bad either. What really has me backing him today is that he is facing and Oakland team that can really struggle at the plate sometimes and on the road he has been fantastic this season posting a 1.97 ERA with batters hitting just .180 against him. 

He should come in and have a quality start. At the plate, Cleveland has been one of the best hitting teams in baseball this season ranking fourth in runs scored per game in batting average, as well as sixth in OPS. However, on the road is a completely different story and they have some of the largest disparities in the major leagues in their home and away offensive averages. They go from averaging 5.8 runs per game at home to just 4.3 on the road as well as batting just .239 when they travel compared to .294 in Cleveland.

 

Oakland Athletics
Andrew Triggs gets his fourth career start for Oakland coming in with a 4.98 ERA and 1.38 whip. Mostly Triggs has been used out of the bullpen but will be making his third start in a row after giving up three earned runs versus Baltimore in just four innings but then coming back with a good game allowing one earned a run in almost 6 innings of work against Texas. Although it is hard to gauge how well he will pitch today there are indications he could come in and pitch well enough to keep Cleveland down in the numbers. 

The last 10 times he has been on the mound either out of the bullpen or making a start he has not given up a home run and his numbers in AAA were solid this season with a 2.95 ERA and 1.15 whip. At the plate, Oakland has really lacked production this season ranking in the bottom part of the league in pretty much every offensive category. The Coliseum is not an easy place to hit and Oakland actually is less productive there hitting just .240 as a team compared to .258 on the road and averaging just 3.7 runs per game while averaging 4.33 when they travel.

 

Free MLB Pick: Under 8 -115
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle 
July record: 13-9
August record: 8-9

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