Shade Santana & Twins with MLB Picks at Tigers Expense

Joe Gavazzi

Friday, July 10, 2015 2:09 PM GMT

Friday, Jul. 10, 2015 2:09 PM GMT

We are excited to share our free picks for Friday's MLB Picks as the Detroit Tigers and Minnesota Twins continue their 4-game weekend set at Target Field with the first pitch scheduled for 8:10 ET.

Detroit Tigers (Verlander) vs. Minnesota Twins (E. Santana) 8:10 ET
The Detroit Tigers and Minnesota Twins continue their 4-game weekend set at Target Field with the first pitch scheduled for 8:10 ET.  Detroit won game 1 of this 4-game set, behind David Price by a score of 4-2.  It marked the first time in 20 games that Detroit was involved in an UNDER result.  During the previous 19 games, Detroit contests had totaled 9 or more runs in each game with those contests averaging 12.6 RPG.  With Verlander failing to return to form after his late start to the season and Santana making just his 2nd start of the year following an 80-game drug suspension, it may be prudent to look at the OVER in this contest, especially noting the No. 2 ranked batting OPS numbers of Detroit at .772 and the Tigers’ No. 28 pitching OPS numbers of .754.  Clearly, this team is a classic OVER proposition.  But for our purposes, we will also focus on the Minnesota SIDE in this one.

Few would have thought that the Detroit record of 44-41 would be inferior to that of the Twins at this stage in the season.  But, the Twins are still hanging around with a winning mark of 46-40, thanks to an early 26-12 surge.  Detroit is now making their move as well, following an 11-19 dip.  The Tigers have gone 5-2, following last night’s 4-2 victory.  Verlander, however, has certainly not been part of the answer.  Using past history as an indicator for Verlander can be a one way ticket to the poor house for you!  This guy has quickly appeared to be authoring a season that proves he is well past his “sell by date.”  In 4 starts since coming off the DL, the Tigers are 0-4 with Verlander posting a 6.75 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP.  In his previous start, he appeared to be over the effects of his strained-right tricep, which had forced him to the DL for the first time in his career.   After pitching 4 solid innings against the Blue Jays on Saturday, he gave up 6 runs in his 5th and final inning of an eventual 10-5 loss.  Want no part of the former MVP and CY Young award winner, until he proves he has turned the corner!

Santana had no such problems in his return to the mound for the first time, after a season opening suspension of 80 games for drug use.  In his inaugural start of the season, Santana worked 8 IP, allowing 2 runs on 3 hits with 8 Ks in an eventual 3-2 Minnesota loss to KC.  Santana will not be lacking for confidence when facing the Tigers against whom, in 9 recent starts, he is 6-1 with a 2.08 ERA.  Remember when placing MLB picks that the Twins play with great confidence on this field, where they are 28-16, posting as many home wins as any team in the American League.

MLB Picks: Twins -130 at Bet365

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