Series Opener Between Blue Jays & Padres Offers Valuable Runline Pick

Aaron Sanchez

Monday, July 25, 2016 5:39 PM GMT

The San Diego Padres continue their 10-game road trip (where they are 2-5) with Game 1 of this 3-game set in Toronto. Join expert capper as he seeks value for MLB pick.

San Diego Padres (Rea) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (Sanchez)
This is the conclusion of a 10-game road trip out of the Break for the Padres. At 2-5, it figures to confirm their status as “SELLER” at the trade deadline at the conclusion of this week. The Padres took 2 of 3 from division leader, Washington, over the weekend, including scoring 4 in the 9th on Sunday for a 10-6 win. That kind of drama figures to be rare for San Diego, who began this road trip being swept on the road in St. Louis for 4 games.  

Toronto, meanwhile, is proving they are “fo real.”  Similar to last season, much was expected of the Blue Jays this season.  A weak-hitting 19-23 start left pundits scratching their heads. But, the Jays have returned to form (though only 4-4 since the Break) with a 36-21 run.  Toronto clings to the 2nd Wild Card spot by ½ game over Houston but trails both, Boston (by 1 ½ games) and Baltimore (by 3 games), for the division lead. Solid momentum in this 3-game stretch is necessary, following a day off on Thursday, they will host the division leading Orioles.  

As expected, Toronto holds a dominant edge in batting statistics. For the YTD, the batting edge is .769 to .708 OPS. That divergence is even greater when considering a home/road dichotomy which sees Toronto with a .790 to .713 OPS edge.  There is an equal advantage with the starting pitchers in this game.  

For San Diego, Rea is a bottom of the rotation pitcher with a 5.01 ERA for the year.  His most recent outing was consistent with that, as he allowed 4 runs, including 3 home runs and a total of 8 hits vs. St. Louis.  For Toronto, Sanchez has been a most pleasant surprise, taking up the slack of the underperforming Stroman. For the season, Sanchez has a record of 10-1 with a 2.87 ERA. But, his work has been even better than that of late!  For, Sanchez has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 8 of his last 9 starts, and in 6 consecutive starts.  His slants have mystified NL opponents who seldom see him.  Versus the National League this year, Sanchez is 3-0 working 22 IP while allowing just 3 runs.     

 

Final Analysis
You can only look to the Blue Jays in this super-surger vs. towel-tosser matchup.  And, we are eager to do so on the run line, thus reducing the price. 45 of 55 Toronto wins have come by 2 or more runs, including 23 of 28 on this field. That is consistent with the historical excellence of Toronto on this field, where in the previous 2 seasons, 80 of 99 home victories were by 2 or more runs. I invite you to put the MLB odds in your favor and join me in my MLB pick on the Toronto Blue Jays tonight.

 

Free MLB pick: Blue Jays -1½ -125
Best line offered: at BetCris

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