September 9th's MLB Pitching Report

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, September 9, 2014 12:36 PM GMT

Our Sports betting odds guru Ross Benjamin takes a look at a pair of starting matchups in games with huge playoff implications. Find out which pitchers he gives the MLB money line betting edges to in the games between the Braves/Nationals and Royals/Tigers.

Braves vs. Nationals 7:05 PM ET
The Braves starter Ervin Santana has been solid for the most part in 2014. The right-hander has gone 16-11 against the money on the season with a 3.61 ERA. He enters tonight having displayed very good form over his last 3-starts, posting a stellar 2.84 ERA, and 1.16 WHIP. In 2 starts versus the Nationals in 2014, Santana has a lofty 5.25 ERA.

The Nationals will send Jordan Zimmerman to the mound this evening. The Nationals right-hander is having a banner year going 19-9 against the money with a sparkling 2.93 ERA. He’s been especially good during his last 7-starts, going 7-0 against the money, with a superb 2.30 ERA, a 0.96 WHIP, and a better than 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Nationals have gone an outstanding 53-23 (.697) in their last 76 home games when Zimmerman is their starting pitcher.

Advantage: During the 7-0 money line run for Zimmerman, the Nationals have given him 6.6 runs per game to work with. That’s a lethal combination, when combining that with his lights out performance line during that stretch. My betting edge in the starting pitching department goes to the Nationals Jordan Zimmerman over Ervin Santana of the Braves.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":286312, "sportsbooksIds":[19,43,227,1096,999996,93,238,123,139], "LineTypeId":5, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

 

Royals vs. Tigers 7:05 PM ET
The Royals go with Jason Vargas tonight in this extremely important game for the Royals. Vargas has been in superb form over his last 5-starts, posting an excellent 1.82 ERA, and saw 4 of those 5 stay under the total. The veteran southpaw has been a rock on the road this season, posting a 2.12 ERA in 12-starts. In 3-starts versus the Tigers in 2014, Vargas has posted a lofty 4.74 ERA.

The Tigers Max Scherzer has struggled a bit over his last 4-starts, compiling an unimpressive 5.11 ERA in those outings. Scherzer has been money at home, going an outstanding 44-12 against the money in his last 56 at Comerica Park, and that includes 10-2 this season while posting a 2.77 ERA. Scherzer has gone 9-1 in his last 10 against the money versus the Royals. Ironically the lone loss came on June 17th at home versus Kansas City, when he allowed 10 earned runs and 10-hits in 4.0 innings of work.

Advantage: Considering the success the Tigers have had when facing southpaw starters over the past couple of seasons, and Scherzer’s outstanding track record at home, it would be difficult to fade the 2013 Cy Young winner from the American League. My MLB pick in the pitching department goes to Max Scherzer of the Tigers over Jason Vargas of the Royals.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":286640, "sportsbooksIds":[19,43,227,1096,999996,93,238,123,139], "LineTypeId":5, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]