Season Revenge & .570 Winning Percentage Give NY the Edge vs. Rangers

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, July 30, 2015 12:09 PM UTC

Thursday, Jul. 30, 2015 12:09 PM UTC

We’re going to break down Thursday night’s American League clash between the Yankees and Rangers. Will the Yankees begin another hot streak after being temporarily slowed by Wednesday’s loss? 

Conclusion of Four Game Series in Arlington on Thursday
The Rangers and Yankees will conclude their four game series in Arlington, Texas on Thursday at 8:05 PM ET. The Yankees have won two of the first three games. These clubs have gone 14-5-1 under the total since during their twenty encounters since 2013.


Starting Pitchers
Michael Pineda will make the start on Thursday for New York. Pineda has been victimized by the long ball in his last two starts, and that’s led to a very misleading 6.94 ERA in those outings. Pineda allowed 3 home runs in 11 2/3 innings which accounted for a good part of the damage. However, the Yankees hurler has actually displayed good overall form during his previous four starts, posting a solid 3.55 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, and he compiled a better than 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio.

Texas will counter with veteran right-hander Yavoni Gallardo. He’s really struggled of late, and it comes on the heels of one of his hottest stretches in his MLB career. Between 5/29 and 7/2, Gallardo made seven starts, allowed just 3 earned runs in 45 1/3 innings pitched, and that included yielding 0 earned runs during five of the seven outings. Since that time, Gallardo has posted a large 6.52 ERA, mammoth 2.28 WHIP, and walked four more than he struck out in his last four starts. Unfortunately, a second half of the season meltdown isn’t anything new for Gallardo. He’s now 3-15 in his team starts since 2014 after game 81 of the season.


Yankees hit a Bump in the Road
The Yankees endured a 5-2 loss at Texas last night. The defeat ended a four game winning streak. Despite that loss, the Yankees have gone 16-6 in July, and that includes 8-2 during their last ten games. According to the MLB betting odds at, they’re currently a -136 money line favorite. They’ve thrived within that betting parameter this season, going 38-18 (.679) as a money line favorite of -100 to -150.


Temporarily Stopping the Bleeding
By virtue of their win on Wednesday, the Rangers are now 2-12 in their last fourteen games played at home. In one of the more frustrating aspects to the Rangers season thus far, they’ve gone a solid 30-24 (.556) on the road, and a dismal 17-28 (.378) at home.


Money Line Betting System
As I alluded to earlier, the Yankees are a -136 money line road favorite.

The Yankees lost 5-2 at Texas on Wednesday as a -170 money line road favorite.

The Yankees enter today with a .570 winning percentage.

Texas enters today with a record of 48-52.

Play on any money line road favorite (Yankees) of -125 or more, playing with same season revenge stemming from a loss as a money line road favorite of -150 or more, facing an opponent (Rangers) with a losing record, resulted in the road favorite going 46-9 (83.6%) since 2011, and that includes 24-3 (88.9%) since 2013.

MLB Pick: Yankees -136 on the money line at GTBets

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