Saturday's Smart MLB Picks of the Day

Joe Catalano

Saturday, September 27, 2014 1:03 PM GMT

Before making your MLB picks today, understand that except for two divisional races that are each separated by a game apiece, everything in the MLB is etched in stone and we’re ready to see some playoff baseball.

Capper Catalano’s Record: 212-186 -20.70 Units
Yesterday's MLB picks resulted in a very destructive day as I put my faith in Rick Porcello at extreme odds and lost.

Even though I knew that Porcello had been pitching poorly, I also knew that the Tigers really needed to defeat a weak Minnesota team to win the AL Central Division. Needless to say, Minny defeated Detroit 11-4 and I consider this my worst pick of the season due to the MLB odds. I also went with the Texas Rangers as an underdog against a desperate Oakland team and that was a loss. It’s a day that I’d like to forget.

Please Note: Most of the games at the end of the regular season are meaningless. You can get a pitcher like Jonathan Niese of the Mets, who is cruising along, and after 64 pitches, gets taken out of the ball game. This makes the picks more unpredictable, but that’s not going to stop us from providing a couple of free winners with our free picks today.

 

Oakland Athletics (87-73) vs. Texas Rangers (66-94)

Still On the Hot Seat?
After a win yesterday, the Oakland A’s are now 1 game behind the Royals, who have already clinched a playoff spot, and 2 games ahead of the Seattle Mariners, who are on the outside looking in. The one thing that the A’s can ill-afford to happen is to lose their last two games and have the Mariners win their last two games of the regular season.

 

Jeff Samardzija
Samardzija has had time and time again to prove himself with his new team and will get another chance to prove his value as this is the most important game of Oakland’s season.

They don’t want their hopes to rest on the 162nd game of the season to make a wild card spot. For the most part, Samardzija has been a bit up and down as a member of the A’s, but lately he’s been outstanding!

In his last 3 starts (22 innings), Samardzija hasn’t allowed a single earned run. This is exactly the type of starting pitcher with the edge that the A’s need to start such a huge game. He has a rubber arm and when his stuff is working for him, he just needs his offense to scratch out a couple of runs for him.

In his one start against Texas this season, Jeff Samardzija went 8 innings while allowing just 4 hits and striking out 10 batters in a no-decision.

Even though Texas starter Derek Holland (2-0, 1.31) has pitched quite well himself, it only covers 5 starts and this is Oakland ( the team with the better offense) and Samardzija’s game to win or lose.

Free MLB Pick: Oakland –149 at 5 Dimes 3 Unit Play- (A definite risk, but Oakland desperately needs this game and their playing a team that they should destroy)

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Minnesota Twins (69-91) vs. Detroit Tigers (89-71)

Retribution
It’s very rare that a bettor should even look at Kyle Lobstein as a -180 betting favorite, but Detroit could’ve clinched the division yesterday, but instead the Twins embarrassed the Tigers and now the Tigers have to put all of their starters back in the lineup in fear of K.C. stealing the division title from them.

With just a 1 game lead over the surging Royals, it’s not Kyle Lobstein (1-1, 3.38) who I trust, it’s the 3-headed monster of Miguel Cabrera, Victor Martinez, and J.D. Martinez along with the experience of Torii Hunter that I trust. Detroit is a much better team than their record indicates and the thought of a 2nd consecutive loss to a bottom-feeder like the Twins at Comerica Park is simply unthinkable and won’t happen.

Free MLB Pick: Detroit -180 at 5 Dimes

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