Saturday's Slate Features Two Hype Underdogs Ready To Win

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, May 28, 2016 6:06 PM GMT

Our MLB handicapping expert shares his two top underdogs on Saturday’s card. He’s gone a terrific 19-11 (63%) with his last 30 MLB underdog picks.

Detroit Tigers vs. Oakland Athletics
This game qualifies as one of my rules of thumb which aids in quickly spotting MLB underdog value. We have a money line underdog with a winning record (Detroit/24-23), and they’re facing an opponent with a losing record (Oakland/20-29), and that opponent’s starting pitcher (Hahn/4.20 ERA)) doesn’t rank in the top 20 MLB ERA category. Let me be clear, it’s not a 100% no brainer wager when this occurs, rather than serving as a strong foundational base which relies on additional supporting data.

Oakland has gone 8-16 at home this season, and includes losing five in a row when cast into that exact role. They’ve also gone a dismal 1-7 in their last eight games overall. Jesse Hahn has displayed shaky form over his previous three starts, posting a lofty 5.60 ERA and 1.64 WHIP during those outings. Oakland also possesses an atrocious .241 OBP and .548 OPS during over the course of its last seven games.

Detroit has gone an extremely profitable 9-2 in their previous eleven games. Unlike their Saturday opponent, Detroit has produced impressive offensive numbers of late. During their previous seven games, the Tigers have compiled an outstanding .341 OBP and .837 OPS. Matt Boyd gets his first start of the year for Detroit. Boyd had an outstanding 2.06 ERA in eight starts at AAA Toledo. He also made one relief appearance back on 4/24 for the Tigers, and allowed 0 earned runs on 2 hits in 4 2/3 innings of work.

The value squarely lies with the underdog in this matchup, and one of my Saturday MLB picks will reflect that exact notion.

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Free MLB Pick: Detroit Tigers +104
Best Line Offered: at Intertops

 

Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners
According to current MLB odds at Sportsbet.com, Minnesota is a +145 money line underdog on Saturday. Let’s then take into consideration, the Twins have gone 1-16 this season as a money line road underdog of +100 to +150, and had a massive -3.0 run per game differential during those outings. Minnesota’s veteran right-handed hurler Philip Hughes has gone a dismal 1-8 in nine team starts with a sizable 5.55 ERA this year. Hughes also surrendered 5 home runs in just 16 1/3 innings pitched during his last three starts. That’s not good news considering he’ll be facing a Seattle team tonight which is on pace to hit 214 home runs in 2016.

Seattle and its ace Felix Hernandez is coming off an embarrassing 7-2 loss to the Twins on Friday. However, the Mariners are 10-3 in its last thirteen games following a loss. Wade Miley has displayed very good form over his last three starts evidenced by a stellar 1.06 WHIP in those appearances. Seattle’s bullpen has been dominant thus far, posting a staff 2.62 ERA, and an eye popping 156 strikeouts in just 140 2/3 innings. I like Seattle to win this game decisively.

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Free MLB Pick: Seattle Mariners -1.5 (+130)
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline